Market icon

Ganador de Eurovisión 2026

Market icon

Ganador de Eurovisión 2026

Finlandia 34.8%

Francia 13.2%

Dinamarca 10.3%

Australia 7.9%

Polymarket

$49,751,801 Vol.

Finlandia 34.8%

Francia 13.2%

Dinamarca 10.3%

Australia 7.9%

Polymarket

$49,751,801 Vol.

Market icon

Finlandia

$1,824,444 Vol.

35%

Market icon

Francia

$1,375,673 Vol.

13%

Market icon

Dinamarca

$889,126 Vol.

10%

Market icon

Australia

$1,151,579 Vol.

8%

Market icon

Grecia

$1,279,716 Vol.

7%

Market icon

Israel

$1,201,190 Vol.

4%

Market icon

Suecia

$922,971 Vol.

4%

Market icon

Italia

$1,489,638 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Ucrania

$1,090,186 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Rumanía

$872,703 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Chipre

$1,087,773 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Malta

$940,172 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Chequia

$757,577 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Bulgaria

$1,100,472 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Suiza

$2,206,763 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Moldavia

$1,065,342 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Alemania

$876,979 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Luxemburgo

$1,019,427 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Reino Unido

$673,122 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Croacia

$934,190 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Bélgica

$1,230,427 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Noruega

$1,249,651 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Albania

$1,902,227 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Letonia

$1,982,162 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Armenia

$1,967,627 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Azerbaiyán

$2,339,383 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Georgia

$2,017,451 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Lituania

$1,468,104 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Montenegro

$2,557,588 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Polonia

$1,851,064 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Serbia

$767,496 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Austria

$1,728,552 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Estonia

$2,226,102 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Portugal

$1,875,239 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

San Marino

$2,051,138 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen with the high-energy "Liekinheitin" have surged to frontrunner status at 34.8% implied probability following their dominant UMK national selection win on February 28, earning unanimous jury acclaim and massive televote buzz for its violin-driven rock spectacle—echoing Finland's recent strong showings like 2023's top-five finish. Traders see broad jury-televote crossover appeal differentiating them from France (13.3%), whose entry boasts sophisticated chanson vibes, and Denmark (10.5%), favored for polished pop craftsmanship amid OGAE fan votes. Australia (7.9%) and Greece (6.7%) trail on perennial televote strength and rising melodic hooks, but the wide-open field reflects untested stagings ahead of Vienna semis on May 12 and 14, where rehearsals and geopolitical narratives could shift momentum.

Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen with the high-energy "Liekinheitin" have surged to frontrunner status at 34.8% implied probability following their dominant UMK national selection win on February 28, earning unanimous jury acclaim and massive televote buzz for its violin-driven rock spectacle—echoing Finland's recent strong showings like 2023's top-five finish. Traders see broad jury-televote crossover appeal differentiating them from France (13.3%), whose entry boasts sophisticated chanson vibes, and Denmark (10.5%), favored for polished pop craftsmanship amid OGAE fan votes. Australia (7.9%) and Greece (6.7%) trail on perennial televote strength and rising melodic hooks, but the wide-open field reflects untested stagings ahead of Vienna semis on May 12 and 14, where rehearsals and geopolitical narratives could shift momentum.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen with the high-energy "Liekinheitin" have surged to frontrunner status at 34.8% implied probability following their dominant UMK national selection win on February 28, earning unanimous jury acclaim and massive televote buzz for its violin-driven rock spectacle—echoing Finland's recent strong showings like 2023's top-five finish. Traders see broad jury-televote crossover appeal differentiating them from France (13.3%), whose entry boasts sophisticated chanson vibes, and Denmark (10.5%), favored for polished pop craftsmanship amid OGAE fan votes. Australia (7.9%) and Greece (6.7%) trail on perennial televote strength and rising melodic hooks, but the wide-open field reflects untested stagings ahead of Vienna semis on May 12 and 14, where rehearsals and geopolitical narratives could shift momentum.

Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen with the high-energy "Liekinheitin" have surged to frontrunner status at 34.8% implied probability following their dominant UMK national selection win on February 28, earning unanimous jury acclaim and massive televote buzz for its violin-driven rock spectacle—echoing Finland's recent strong showings like 2023's top-five finish. Traders see broad jury-televote crossover appeal differentiating them from France (13.3%), whose entry boasts sophisticated chanson vibes, and Denmark (10.5%), favored for polished pop craftsmanship amid OGAE fan votes. Australia (7.9%) and Greece (6.7%) trail on perennial televote strength and rising melodic hooks, but the wide-open field reflects untested stagings ahead of Vienna semis on May 12 and 14, where rehearsals and geopolitical narratives could shift momentum.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 35 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Finlandia" con 35%, seguido de "Francia" con 13%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 35¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 35% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" ha generado $49.8 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 6, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026", explora los 35 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" es "Finlandia" con 35%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 35% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Francia" con 13%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.