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Ganador de Eurovisión 2026

Market icon

Ganador de Eurovisión 2026

Finlandia 34.9%

Francia 13.0%

Dinamarca 11.7%

Australia 8.2%

Polymarket

$45,017,891 Vol.

Finlandia 34.9%

Francia 13.0%

Dinamarca 11.7%

Australia 8.2%

Polymarket

$45,017,891 Vol.

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Finlandia

$1,796,856 Vol.

35%

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Francia

$1,223,781 Vol.

13%

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Dinamarca

$837,787 Vol.

12%

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Australia

$1,106,561 Vol.

8%

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Grecia

$1,234,262 Vol.

6%

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Israel

$1,143,629 Vol.

4%

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Suecia

$836,063 Vol.

4%

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Italia

$1,405,318 Vol.

3%

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Ucrania

$1,037,873 Vol.

2%

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Rumanía

$813,996 Vol.

2%

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Malta

$915,231 Vol.

1%

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Chequia

$729,295 Vol.

1%

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Chipre

$1,038,888 Vol.

1%

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Bulgaria

$1,030,296 Vol.

1%

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Alemania

$796,245 Vol.

1%

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Reino Unido

$660,280 Vol.

1%

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Bélgica

$1,171,850 Vol.

1%

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Croacia

$895,598 Vol.

1%

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Luxemburgo

$857,072 Vol.

1%

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Noruega

$1,181,510 Vol.

1%

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Serbia

$748,719 Vol.

1%

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Suiza

$2,143,601 Vol.

1%

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Albania

$1,653,833 Vol.

<1%

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Letonia

$1,492,853 Vol.

<1%

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Moldavia

$875,760 Vol.

<1%

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Azerbaiyán

$2,114,011 Vol.

<1%

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Lituania

$1,224,211 Vol.

<1%

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Austria

$1,531,225 Vol.

<1%

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Estonia

$1,938,540 Vol.

<1%

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Portugal

$1,811,096 Vol.

<1%

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San Marino

$1,822,905 Vol.

<1%

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Armenia

$1,671,130 Vol.

<1%

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Georgia

$1,618,805 Vol.

<1%

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Montenegro

$2,137,716 Vol.

<1%

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Polonia

$1,525,962 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket crowns Finland as the frontrunner at 35% implied probability for Eurovision 2026 winner, propelled by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin," which dominated Finland's UMK national selection on February 28 with strong jury scores and televote surge, blending catchy pop hooks, violin flair, and high-energy staging that echoes past Nordic successes like "Cha Cha Cha." France's Monroe with "Regarde" trails at 13%, buoyed by jury appeal and sleek production, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund holds 12% on melodic ballad vibes and home-region buzz. The wide-open field reflects early-stage uncertainty post-all songs' release, with Australia's Delta Goodrem and Greece gaining televote traction, ahead of Vienna semi-finals on May 12/14 and grand final May 16—watch streaming metrics and rehearsals for momentum shifts.

Trader consensus on Polymarket crowns Finland as the frontrunner at 35% implied probability for Eurovision 2026 winner, propelled by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin," which dominated Finland's UMK national selection on February 28 with strong jury scores and televote surge, blending catchy pop hooks, violin flair, and high-energy staging that echoes past Nordic successes like "Cha Cha Cha." France's Monroe with "Regarde" trails at 13%, buoyed by jury appeal and sleek production, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund holds 12% on melodic ballad vibes and home-region buzz. The wide-open field reflects early-stage uncertainty post-all songs' release, with Australia's Delta Goodrem and Greece gaining televote traction, ahead of Vienna semi-finals on May 12/14 and grand final May 16—watch streaming metrics and rehearsals for momentum shifts.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket crowns Finland as the frontrunner at 35% implied probability for Eurovision 2026 winner, propelled by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin," which dominated Finland's UMK national selection on February 28 with strong jury scores and televote surge, blending catchy pop hooks, violin flair, and high-energy staging that echoes past Nordic successes like "Cha Cha Cha." France's Monroe with "Regarde" trails at 13%, buoyed by jury appeal and sleek production, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund holds 12% on melodic ballad vibes and home-region buzz. The wide-open field reflects early-stage uncertainty post-all songs' release, with Australia's Delta Goodrem and Greece gaining televote traction, ahead of Vienna semi-finals on May 12/14 and grand final May 16—watch streaming metrics and rehearsals for momentum shifts.

Trader consensus on Polymarket crowns Finland as the frontrunner at 35% implied probability for Eurovision 2026 winner, propelled by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin," which dominated Finland's UMK national selection on February 28 with strong jury scores and televote surge, blending catchy pop hooks, violin flair, and high-energy staging that echoes past Nordic successes like "Cha Cha Cha." France's Monroe with "Regarde" trails at 13%, buoyed by jury appeal and sleek production, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund holds 12% on melodic ballad vibes and home-region buzz. The wide-open field reflects early-stage uncertainty post-all songs' release, with Australia's Delta Goodrem and Greece gaining televote traction, ahead of Vienna semi-finals on May 12/14 and grand final May 16—watch streaming metrics and rehearsals for momentum shifts.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 35 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Finlandia" con 35%, seguido de "Francia" con 13%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 35¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 35% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" ha generado $45 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 6, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026", explora los 35 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" es "Finlandia" con 35%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 35% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Francia" con 13%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.