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Ganador de Eurovisión 2026

Market icon

Ganador de Eurovisión 2026

Finlandia 34.8%

Francia 13.0%

Dinamarca 11.7%

Australia 8.2%

Polymarket

$45,048,225 Vol.

Finlandia 34.8%

Francia 13.0%

Dinamarca 11.7%

Australia 8.2%

Polymarket

$45,048,225 Vol.

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Finlandia

$1,796,898 Vol.

35%

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Francia

$1,223,894 Vol.

13%

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Dinamarca

$837,801 Vol.

12%

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Australia

$1,106,594 Vol.

8%

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Grecia

$1,234,394 Vol.

6%

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Israel

$1,143,933 Vol.

4%

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Suecia

$836,302 Vol.

4%

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Italia

$1,405,577 Vol.

3%

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Ucrania

$1,038,129 Vol.

2%

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Rumanía

$814,601 Vol.

1%

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Malta

$915,350 Vol.

1%

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Chequia

$730,440 Vol.

1%

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Chipre

$1,039,229 Vol.

1%

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Bulgaria

$1,030,296 Vol.

1%

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Alemania

$796,245 Vol.

1%

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Reino Unido

$660,280 Vol.

1%

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Bélgica

$1,172,160 Vol.

1%

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Croacia

$895,598 Vol.

1%

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Luxemburgo

$858,551 Vol.

1%

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Noruega

$1,184,410 Vol.

1%

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Serbia

$748,719 Vol.

1%

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Suiza

$2,145,063 Vol.

1%

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Albania

$1,657,182 Vol.

<1%

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Letonia

$1,494,621 Vol.

<1%

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Moldavia

$876,456 Vol.

<1%

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Azerbaiyán

$2,115,855 Vol.

<1%

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Lituania

$1,226,406 Vol.

<1%

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Austria

$1,531,810 Vol.

<1%

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Estonia

$1,940,052 Vol.

<1%

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Portugal

$1,811,322 Vol.

<1%

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San Marino

$1,824,606 Vol.

<1%

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Armenia

$1,671,795 Vol.

<1%

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Georgia

$1,620,941 Vol.

<1%

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Montenegro

$2,138,185 Vol.

<1%

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Polonia

$1,526,575 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen emerged as the clear frontrunner with their UMK 2026 landslide win for "Liekinheitin" on February 28, securing record televote and jury points that signal broad appeal in Vienna. Trader consensus reflects this balanced momentum, amplified by the track topping charts alongside Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund's "Før Vi Går Hjem," a Dansk Melodi Grand Prix victor staying fully in Danish. France's Monroe climbed to second on her March 6 "Regarde!" reveal and recent live debut buzz, while Australia's Delta Goodrem brings star power with "Eclipse" and Greece's Akylas eyes televote surge via "Ferto." With semis looming May 12-14, staging reveals and streaming trajectories will be pivotal swing factors in this wide-open field.

Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen emerged as the clear frontrunner with their UMK 2026 landslide win for "Liekinheitin" on February 28, securing record televote and jury points that signal broad appeal in Vienna. Trader consensus reflects this balanced momentum, amplified by the track topping charts alongside Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund's "Før Vi Går Hjem," a Dansk Melodi Grand Prix victor staying fully in Danish. France's Monroe climbed to second on her March 6 "Regarde!" reveal and recent live debut buzz, while Australia's Delta Goodrem brings star power with "Eclipse" and Greece's Akylas eyes televote surge via "Ferto." With semis looming May 12-14, staging reveals and streaming trajectories will be pivotal swing factors in this wide-open field.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen emerged as the clear frontrunner with their UMK 2026 landslide win for "Liekinheitin" on February 28, securing record televote and jury points that signal broad appeal in Vienna. Trader consensus reflects this balanced momentum, amplified by the track topping charts alongside Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund's "Før Vi Går Hjem," a Dansk Melodi Grand Prix victor staying fully in Danish. France's Monroe climbed to second on her March 6 "Regarde!" reveal and recent live debut buzz, while Australia's Delta Goodrem brings star power with "Eclipse" and Greece's Akylas eyes televote surge via "Ferto." With semis looming May 12-14, staging reveals and streaming trajectories will be pivotal swing factors in this wide-open field.

Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen emerged as the clear frontrunner with their UMK 2026 landslide win for "Liekinheitin" on February 28, securing record televote and jury points that signal broad appeal in Vienna. Trader consensus reflects this balanced momentum, amplified by the track topping charts alongside Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund's "Før Vi Går Hjem," a Dansk Melodi Grand Prix victor staying fully in Danish. France's Monroe climbed to second on her March 6 "Regarde!" reveal and recent live debut buzz, while Australia's Delta Goodrem brings star power with "Eclipse" and Greece's Akylas eyes televote surge via "Ferto." With semis looming May 12-14, staging reveals and streaming trajectories will be pivotal swing factors in this wide-open field.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 35 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Finlandia" con 35%, seguido de "Francia" con 13%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 35¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 35% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" ha generado $45 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 6, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026", explora los 35 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" es "Finlandia" con 35%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 35% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Francia" con 13%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.