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Ganador de Eurovisión 2026

Market icon

Ganador de Eurovisión 2026

Finlandia 34.5%

Francia 13.2%

Dinamarca 11.8%

Australia 8.1%

Polymarket

$45,557,939 Vol.

Finlandia 34.5%

Francia 13.2%

Dinamarca 11.8%

Australia 8.1%

Polymarket

$45,557,939 Vol.

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Finlandia

$1,804,534 Vol.

35%

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Francia

$1,247,849 Vol.

13%

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Dinamarca

$840,632 Vol.

12%

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Australia

$1,110,857 Vol.

8%

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Grecia

$1,241,122 Vol.

7%

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Israel

$1,150,341 Vol.

4%

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Suecia

$844,146 Vol.

4%

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Italia

$1,413,260 Vol.

3%

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Ucrania

$1,043,190 Vol.

2%

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Rumanía

$817,093 Vol.

2%

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Malta

$918,091 Vol.

1%

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Chequia

$731,551 Vol.

1%

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Chipre

$1,042,128 Vol.

1%

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Bulgaria

$1,032,560 Vol.

1%

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Alemania

$798,236 Vol.

1%

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Reino Unido

$661,670 Vol.

1%

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Bélgica

$1,173,617 Vol.

1%

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Croacia

$897,246 Vol.

1%

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Luxemburgo

$886,148 Vol.

1%

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Noruega

$1,202,455 Vol.

1%

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Serbia

$750,630 Vol.

1%

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Suiza

$2,156,630 Vol.

1%

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Albania

$1,688,970 Vol.

<1%

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Letonia

$1,545,100 Vol.

<1%

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Moldavia

$897,611 Vol.

<1%

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Azerbaiyán

$2,152,792 Vol.

<1%

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Lituania

$1,273,518 Vol.

<1%

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Austria

$1,564,000 Vol.

<1%

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Estonia

$1,963,868 Vol.

<1%

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San Marino

$1,860,479 Vol.

<1%

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Armenia

$1,692,697 Vol.

<1%

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Georgia

$1,632,336 Vol.

<1%

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Montenegro

$2,154,901 Vol.

<1%

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Polonia

$1,559,037 Vol.

<1%

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Portugal

$1,819,773 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen command a 34.5% implied probability on Polymarket as Eurovision 2026 frontrunners after their February UMK triumph with "Liekinheitin," a fiery violin-pop fusion that dominated jury votes while igniting televote potential akin to Finland's past hits, fueling trader consensus on its Vienna appeal. France's rising soprano Monroe trails at 13.2% with the soaring "Regarde!," leveraging operatic drama; Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund (11.8%) offers emotive balladry in "Før Vi Går Hjem"; Australia's Delta Goodrem (8.1%) brings star power and diaspora strength via "Eclipse"; and Greece's Akylas (6.6%) surges on viral "Ferto" buzz. With national finals wrapping and pre-parties underway, the wide-open field hinges on rehearsals, streaming metrics, and jury-televote splits ahead of May's Wiener Stadthalle showdowns.

Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen command a 34.5% implied probability on Polymarket as Eurovision 2026 frontrunners after their February UMK triumph with "Liekinheitin," a fiery violin-pop fusion that dominated jury votes while igniting televote potential akin to Finland's past hits, fueling trader consensus on its Vienna appeal. France's rising soprano Monroe trails at 13.2% with the soaring "Regarde!," leveraging operatic drama; Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund (11.8%) offers emotive balladry in "Før Vi Går Hjem"; Australia's Delta Goodrem (8.1%) brings star power and diaspora strength via "Eclipse"; and Greece's Akylas (6.6%) surges on viral "Ferto" buzz. With national finals wrapping and pre-parties underway, the wide-open field hinges on rehearsals, streaming metrics, and jury-televote splits ahead of May's Wiener Stadthalle showdowns.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen command a 34.5% implied probability on Polymarket as Eurovision 2026 frontrunners after their February UMK triumph with "Liekinheitin," a fiery violin-pop fusion that dominated jury votes while igniting televote potential akin to Finland's past hits, fueling trader consensus on its Vienna appeal. France's rising soprano Monroe trails at 13.2% with the soaring "Regarde!," leveraging operatic drama; Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund (11.8%) offers emotive balladry in "Før Vi Går Hjem"; Australia's Delta Goodrem (8.1%) brings star power and diaspora strength via "Eclipse"; and Greece's Akylas (6.6%) surges on viral "Ferto" buzz. With national finals wrapping and pre-parties underway, the wide-open field hinges on rehearsals, streaming metrics, and jury-televote splits ahead of May's Wiener Stadthalle showdowns.

Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen command a 34.5% implied probability on Polymarket as Eurovision 2026 frontrunners after their February UMK triumph with "Liekinheitin," a fiery violin-pop fusion that dominated jury votes while igniting televote potential akin to Finland's past hits, fueling trader consensus on its Vienna appeal. France's rising soprano Monroe trails at 13.2% with the soaring "Regarde!," leveraging operatic drama; Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund (11.8%) offers emotive balladry in "Før Vi Går Hjem"; Australia's Delta Goodrem (8.1%) brings star power and diaspora strength via "Eclipse"; and Greece's Akylas (6.6%) surges on viral "Ferto" buzz. With national finals wrapping and pre-parties underway, the wide-open field hinges on rehearsals, streaming metrics, and jury-televote splits ahead of May's Wiener Stadthalle showdowns.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 35 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Finlandia" con 35%, seguido de "Francia" con 13%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 35¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 35% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" ha generado $45.6 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 6, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026", explora los 35 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" es "Finlandia" con 35%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 35% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Francia" con 13%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.