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Ganador de Eurovisión 2026

Market icon

Ganador de Eurovisión 2026

Finlandia 35.0%

Francia 13.0%

Dinamarca 11.1%

Australia 7.8%

Polymarket

$49,314,174 Vol.

Finlandia 35.0%

Francia 13.0%

Dinamarca 11.1%

Australia 7.8%

Polymarket

$49,314,174 Vol.

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Finlandia

$1,822,670 Vol.

35%

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Francia

$1,370,224 Vol.

13%

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Dinamarca

$868,832 Vol.

11%

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Australia

$1,147,941 Vol.

8%

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Grecia

$1,273,994 Vol.

7%

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Israel

$1,198,785 Vol.

4%

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Suecia

$920,753 Vol.

4%

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Italia

$1,485,521 Vol.

3%

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Ucrania

$1,086,239 Vol.

2%

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Rumanía

$871,319 Vol.

2%

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Chipre

$1,065,381 Vol.

1%

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Malta

$937,982 Vol.

1%

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Chequia

$757,299 Vol.

1%

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Bulgaria

$1,083,656 Vol.

1%

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Moldavia

$1,055,945 Vol.

1%

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Alemania

$873,242 Vol.

1%

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Suiza

$2,205,156 Vol.

1%

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Luxemburgo

$1,017,412 Vol.

1%

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Reino Unido

$672,883 Vol.

1%

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Bélgica

$1,230,183 Vol.

1%

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Croacia

$932,358 Vol.

1%

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Noruega

$1,243,291 Vol.

1%

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Albania

$1,860,356 Vol.

<1%

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Armenia

$1,943,137 Vol.

<1%

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Azerbaiyán

$2,313,368 Vol.

<1%

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Georgia

$1,985,499 Vol.

<1%

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Lituania

$1,445,041 Vol.

<1%

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Polonia

$1,824,573 Vol.

<1%

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Serbia

$760,458 Vol.

<1%

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Austria

$1,706,872 Vol.

<1%

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Estonia

$2,202,913 Vol.

<1%

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Letonia

$1,942,443 Vol.

<1%

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Portugal

$1,870,760 Vol.

<1%

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San Marino

$2,025,680 Vol.

<1%

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Montenegro

$2,315,893 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen has surged to a 35% implied probability as the clear frontrunner following their dominant UMK national final victory on February 28, earning nearly triple the points of runners-up with broad jury and televote appeal reminiscent of Finland's 2023 televote smash "Cha Cha Cha." Recent buzz intensified after Lampenius's March 21 EBU application to perform violin live—banned under standard rules—boosting its unique staging potential ahead of Vienna rehearsals. France (13%) and Denmark (11.1%) hold strong on polished pop entries from recent national finals, while Australia (7.8%) and Greece (6.7%) draw Nordic/Balkan televote loyalty; trader consensus reflects skin-in-the-game bets on Finland's dual-vote momentum, though jury-televote splits and late previews could shift dynamics before the May 16 grand final.

Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen has surged to a 35% implied probability as the clear frontrunner following their dominant UMK national final victory on February 28, earning nearly triple the points of runners-up with broad jury and televote appeal reminiscent of Finland's 2023 televote smash "Cha Cha Cha." Recent buzz intensified after Lampenius's March 21 EBU application to perform violin live—banned under standard rules—boosting its unique staging potential ahead of Vienna rehearsals. France (13%) and Denmark (11.1%) hold strong on polished pop entries from recent national finals, while Australia (7.8%) and Greece (6.7%) draw Nordic/Balkan televote loyalty; trader consensus reflects skin-in-the-game bets on Finland's dual-vote momentum, though jury-televote splits and late previews could shift dynamics before the May 16 grand final.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen has surged to a 35% implied probability as the clear frontrunner following their dominant UMK national final victory on February 28, earning nearly triple the points of runners-up with broad jury and televote appeal reminiscent of Finland's 2023 televote smash "Cha Cha Cha." Recent buzz intensified after Lampenius's March 21 EBU application to perform violin live—banned under standard rules—boosting its unique staging potential ahead of Vienna rehearsals. France (13%) and Denmark (11.1%) hold strong on polished pop entries from recent national finals, while Australia (7.8%) and Greece (6.7%) draw Nordic/Balkan televote loyalty; trader consensus reflects skin-in-the-game bets on Finland's dual-vote momentum, though jury-televote splits and late previews could shift dynamics before the May 16 grand final.

Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen has surged to a 35% implied probability as the clear frontrunner following their dominant UMK national final victory on February 28, earning nearly triple the points of runners-up with broad jury and televote appeal reminiscent of Finland's 2023 televote smash "Cha Cha Cha." Recent buzz intensified after Lampenius's March 21 EBU application to perform violin live—banned under standard rules—boosting its unique staging potential ahead of Vienna rehearsals. France (13%) and Denmark (11.1%) hold strong on polished pop entries from recent national finals, while Australia (7.8%) and Greece (6.7%) draw Nordic/Balkan televote loyalty; trader consensus reflects skin-in-the-game bets on Finland's dual-vote momentum, though jury-televote splits and late previews could shift dynamics before the May 16 grand final.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 35 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Finlandia" con 35%, seguido de "Francia" con 13%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 35¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 35% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" ha generado $49.3 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 6, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026", explora los 35 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" es "Finlandia" con 35%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 35% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Francia" con 13%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.