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Ganador de Eurovisión 2026

Market icon

Ganador de Eurovisión 2026

Finlandia 35.9%

Francia 12.1%

Dinamarca 11.9%

Grecia 6.3%

Polymarket

$43,096,697 Vol.

Finlandia 35.9%

Francia 12.1%

Dinamarca 11.9%

Grecia 6.3%

Polymarket

$43,096,697 Vol.

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Finlandia

$1,767,147 Vol.

36%

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Francia

$1,183,318 Vol.

12%

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Dinamarca

$812,650 Vol.

12%

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Grecia

$1,202,713 Vol.

6%

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Australia

$1,067,120 Vol.

6%

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Israel

$1,106,405 Vol.

4%

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Suecia

$798,398 Vol.

4%

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Ucrania

$1,000,759 Vol.

3%

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Italia

$1,362,985 Vol.

2%

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Malta

$877,426 Vol.

1%

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Rumanía

$764,080 Vol.

1%

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Chequia

$722,199 Vol.

1%

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Chipre

$1,020,209 Vol.

1%

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Bulgaria

$1,017,469 Vol.

1%

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Alemania

$786,617 Vol.

1%

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Reino Unido

$646,566 Vol.

1%

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Bélgica

$1,143,043 Vol.

1%

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Croacia

$863,275 Vol.

1%

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Luxemburgo

$780,270 Vol.

1%

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Noruega

$1,120,797 Vol.

1%

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Serbia

$691,817 Vol.

1%

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Suiza

$2,117,427 Vol.

1%

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Albania

$1,469,944 Vol.

<1%

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Letonia

$1,358,533 Vol.

<1%

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Moldavia

$819,707 Vol.

<1%

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San Marino

$1,690,592 Vol.

<1%

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Azerbaiyán

$2,035,139 Vol.

<1%

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Lituania

$1,168,577 Vol.

<1%

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Polonia

$1,434,768 Vol.

<1%

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Austria

$1,458,195 Vol.

<1%

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Estonia

$1,804,027 Vol.

<1%

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Portugal

$1,759,648 Vol.

<1%

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Armenia

$1,606,353 Vol.

<1%

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Georgia

$1,557,562 Vol.

<1%

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Montenegro

$2,081,530 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket crowns Finland as the frontrunner for Eurovision Song Contest 2026 winner with a 35.9% implied probability, fueled by the lasting momentum from Käärijä's electrifying runner-up finish in Liverpool 2023—his chaotic energy and "Cha Cha Cha" anthem galvanized televoters and built a fervent fanbase. France (12.1%) and Denmark (12.0%) trail closely, leveraging France's Big 5 auto-qualification and chanson prestige alongside Denmark's Nordic voting bloc and consistent semi-final prowess. With national selections still over a year out—no confirmed entries or UMK-style finals announced in the past 30 days—odds reflect historical patterns, diaspora strength, and staging potential amid high uncertainty, as juries, televotes, and host city dynamics (TBD post-2025 Basel) could swiftly shift trajectories.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volumen
$43,096,697
Fecha de finalización
May 16, 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket crowns Finland as the frontrunner for Eurovision Song Contest 2026 winner with a 35.9% implied probability, fueled by the lasting momentum from Käärijä's electrifying runner-up finish in Liverpool 2023—his chaotic energy and "Cha Cha Cha" anthem galvanized televoters and built a fervent fanbase. France (12.1%) and Denmark (12.0%) trail closely, leveraging France's Big 5 auto-qualification and chanson prestige alongside Denmark's Nordic voting bloc and consistent semi-final prowess. With national selections still over a year out—no confirmed entries or UMK-style finals announced in the past 30 days—odds reflect historical patterns, diaspora strength, and staging potential amid high uncertainty, as juries, televotes, and host city dynamics (TBD post-2025 Basel) could swiftly shift trajectories.

Trader consensus on Polymarket crowns Finland as the frontrunner for Eurovision Song Contest 2026 winner with a 35.9% implied probability, fueled by the lasting momentum from Käärijä's electrifying runner-up finish in Liverpool 2023—his chaotic energy and "Cha Cha Cha" anthem galvanized televoters and built a fervent fanbase. France (12.1%) and Denmark (12.0%) trail closely, leveraging France's Big 5 auto-qualification and chanson prestige alongside Denmark's Nordic voting bloc and consistent semi-final prowess. With national selections still over a year out—no confirmed entries or UMK-style finals announced in the past 30 days—odds reflect historical patterns, diaspora strength, and staging potential amid high uncertainty, as juries, televotes, and host city dynamics (TBD post-2025 Basel) could swiftly shift trajectories.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 35 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Finlandia" con 36%, seguido de "Francia" con 12%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 36¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 36% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" ha generado $43.1 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 6, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026", explora los 35 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" es "Finlandia" con 36%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 36% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Francia" con 12%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.