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Ganador de Eurovisión 2026

Market icon

Ganador de Eurovisión 2026

Finlandia 35.0%

Francia 13.2%

Dinamarca 10.4%

Australia 7.7%

Polymarket

$50,640,536 Vol.

Finlandia 35.0%

Francia 13.2%

Dinamarca 10.4%

Australia 7.7%

Polymarket

$50,640,536 Vol.

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Finlandia

$1,829,866 Vol.

35%

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Francia

$1,384,784 Vol.

13%

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Dinamarca

$898,139 Vol.

10%

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Australia

$1,154,297 Vol.

8%

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Grecia

$1,286,758 Vol.

7%

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Israel

$1,206,515 Vol.

4%

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Suecia

$929,360 Vol.

4%

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Ucrania

$1,098,408 Vol.

3%

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Italia

$1,495,326 Vol.

3%

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Rumanía

$880,890 Vol.

2%

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Chipre

$1,109,439 Vol.

1%

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Malta

$1,003,457 Vol.

1%

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Chequia

$758,943 Vol.

1%

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Bulgaria

$1,103,993 Vol.

1%

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Alemania

$880,099 Vol.

1%

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Moldavia

$1,082,239 Vol.

1%

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Suiza

$2,208,505 Vol.

1%

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Luxemburgo

$1,019,644 Vol.

1%

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Croacia

$936,701 Vol.

1%

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Bélgica

$1,231,537 Vol.

1%

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Reino Unido

$711,710 Vol.

1%

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Noruega

$1,263,550 Vol.

1%

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Albania

$1,940,478 Vol.

<1%

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Letonia

$2,016,048 Vol.

<1%

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Armenia

$2,005,859 Vol.

<1%

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Azerbaiyán

$2,380,470 Vol.

<1%

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Georgia

$2,059,865 Vol.

<1%

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Lituania

$1,506,035 Vol.

<1%

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Montenegro

$2,600,083 Vol.

<1%

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Polonia

$1,888,577 Vol.

<1%

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Serbia

$767,611 Vol.

<1%

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Austria

$1,762,444 Vol.

<1%

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Estonia

$2,265,603 Vol.

<1%

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Portugal

$1,884,459 Vol.

<1%

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San Marino

$2,091,324 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen lead trader consensus at 35% implied probability for Eurovision 2026 victory following their landslide UMK win on February 28 with the high-energy "Liekinheitin," blending violin flair and pop hooks that analysts project strong jury and televote appeal, bolstered by recent OGAE fan poll 12 points from France and top rankings in predictive models like The Model. France trails at 13% on Monroe's internally selected entry, praised for polished production and preview buzz, while Denmark's 10.5% reflects Dansk Melodi Grand Prix momentum amid Nordic frontrunner history. Australia's Delta Goodrem brings star power with "Eclipse" at 7.8%, and Greece lurks as a diaspora vote sleeper at 6.8%. With national selections largely complete, Vienna rehearsals and semi-final draw will test staging and running order in this volatile field.

Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen lead trader consensus at 35% implied probability for Eurovision 2026 victory following their landslide UMK win on February 28 with the high-energy "Liekinheitin," blending violin flair and pop hooks that analysts project strong jury and televote appeal, bolstered by recent OGAE fan poll 12 points from France and top rankings in predictive models like The Model. France trails at 13% on Monroe's internally selected entry, praised for polished production and preview buzz, while Denmark's 10.5% reflects Dansk Melodi Grand Prix momentum amid Nordic frontrunner history. Australia's Delta Goodrem brings star power with "Eclipse" at 7.8%, and Greece lurks as a diaspora vote sleeper at 6.8%. With national selections largely complete, Vienna rehearsals and semi-final draw will test staging and running order in this volatile field.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen lead trader consensus at 35% implied probability for Eurovision 2026 victory following their landslide UMK win on February 28 with the high-energy "Liekinheitin," blending violin flair and pop hooks that analysts project strong jury and televote appeal, bolstered by recent OGAE fan poll 12 points from France and top rankings in predictive models like The Model. France trails at 13% on Monroe's internally selected entry, praised for polished production and preview buzz, while Denmark's 10.5% reflects Dansk Melodi Grand Prix momentum amid Nordic frontrunner history. Australia's Delta Goodrem brings star power with "Eclipse" at 7.8%, and Greece lurks as a diaspora vote sleeper at 6.8%. With national selections largely complete, Vienna rehearsals and semi-final draw will test staging and running order in this volatile field.

Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen lead trader consensus at 35% implied probability for Eurovision 2026 victory following their landslide UMK win on February 28 with the high-energy "Liekinheitin," blending violin flair and pop hooks that analysts project strong jury and televote appeal, bolstered by recent OGAE fan poll 12 points from France and top rankings in predictive models like The Model. France trails at 13% on Monroe's internally selected entry, praised for polished production and preview buzz, while Denmark's 10.5% reflects Dansk Melodi Grand Prix momentum amid Nordic frontrunner history. Australia's Delta Goodrem brings star power with "Eclipse" at 7.8%, and Greece lurks as a diaspora vote sleeper at 6.8%. With national selections largely complete, Vienna rehearsals and semi-final draw will test staging and running order in this volatile field.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 35 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Finlandia" con 35%, seguido de "Francia" con 13%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 35¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 35% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" ha generado $50.6 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 6, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026", explora los 35 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" es "Finlandia" con 35%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 35% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Francia" con 13%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.