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Ganador de Eurovisión 2026

Market icon

Ganador de Eurovisión 2026

Finlandia 34.8%

Francia 13.2%

Dinamarca 10.3%

Australia 7.9%

Polymarket

$50,026,515 Vol.

Finlandia 34.8%

Francia 13.2%

Dinamarca 10.3%

Australia 7.9%

Polymarket

$50,026,515 Vol.

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Finlandia

$1,824,834 Vol.

35%

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Francia

$1,376,039 Vol.

13%

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Dinamarca

$889,256 Vol.

10%

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Australia

$1,151,712 Vol.

8%

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Grecia

$1,280,216 Vol.

7%

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Israel

$1,201,436 Vol.

4%

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Suecia

$923,186 Vol.

4%

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Italia

$1,490,086 Vol.

2%

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Ucrania

$1,090,338 Vol.

2%

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Rumanía

$875,206 Vol.

2%

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Chipre

$1,088,869 Vol.

1%

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Malta

$940,460 Vol.

1%

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Chequia

$757,981 Vol.

1%

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Bulgaria

$1,101,045 Vol.

1%

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Suiza

$2,207,600 Vol.

1%

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Moldavia

$1,065,345 Vol.

1%

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Alemania

$877,550 Vol.

1%

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Luxemburgo

$1,019,489 Vol.

1%

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Reino Unido

$673,126 Vol.

1%

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Bélgica

$1,230,428 Vol.

1%

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Croacia

$934,190 Vol.

1%

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Noruega

$1,250,138 Vol.

1%

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Albania

$1,905,972 Vol.

<1%

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Letonia

$1,987,060 Vol.

<1%

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Armenia

$1,973,912 Vol.

<1%

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Azerbaiyán

$2,342,974 Vol.

<1%

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Georgia

$2,022,474 Vol.

<1%

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Lituania

$1,472,378 Vol.

<1%

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Montenegro

$2,561,201 Vol.

<1%

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Polonia

$1,854,824 Vol.

<1%

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Serbia

$767,496 Vol.

<1%

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Austria

$1,732,963 Vol.

<1%

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Estonia

$2,232,294 Vol.

<1%

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Portugal

$1,876,371 Vol.

<1%

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San Marino

$2,055,816 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen emerged as the clear frontrunner for Eurovision 2026 after dominating UMK with "Liekinheitin" on February 28, sweeping both international jury and televote for broad appeal that traders see translating to Vienna's split voting. Their commanding 34.8% implied probability reflects sustained momentum from pre-parties like Eurovision in Concert and OGAE fan poll endorsements, including France's 12 points. France's Monroe ("Regarde!") and Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund ("Før vi går hjem") trail at 13.2% and 10.3%, buoyed by solid national final wins but lacking Finland's dual-vote edge amid a fragmented field where Greece and Australia lurk as televote threats. With semis looming May 12-14, upcoming rehearsals could shift the wide-open dynamics.

Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen emerged as the clear frontrunner for Eurovision 2026 after dominating UMK with "Liekinheitin" on February 28, sweeping both international jury and televote for broad appeal that traders see translating to Vienna's split voting. Their commanding 34.8% implied probability reflects sustained momentum from pre-parties like Eurovision in Concert and OGAE fan poll endorsements, including France's 12 points. France's Monroe ("Regarde!") and Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund ("Før vi går hjem") trail at 13.2% and 10.3%, buoyed by solid national final wins but lacking Finland's dual-vote edge amid a fragmented field where Greece and Australia lurk as televote threats. With semis looming May 12-14, upcoming rehearsals could shift the wide-open dynamics.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen emerged as the clear frontrunner for Eurovision 2026 after dominating UMK with "Liekinheitin" on February 28, sweeping both international jury and televote for broad appeal that traders see translating to Vienna's split voting. Their commanding 34.8% implied probability reflects sustained momentum from pre-parties like Eurovision in Concert and OGAE fan poll endorsements, including France's 12 points. France's Monroe ("Regarde!") and Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund ("Før vi går hjem") trail at 13.2% and 10.3%, buoyed by solid national final wins but lacking Finland's dual-vote edge amid a fragmented field where Greece and Australia lurk as televote threats. With semis looming May 12-14, upcoming rehearsals could shift the wide-open dynamics.

Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen emerged as the clear frontrunner for Eurovision 2026 after dominating UMK with "Liekinheitin" on February 28, sweeping both international jury and televote for broad appeal that traders see translating to Vienna's split voting. Their commanding 34.8% implied probability reflects sustained momentum from pre-parties like Eurovision in Concert and OGAE fan poll endorsements, including France's 12 points. France's Monroe ("Regarde!") and Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund ("Før vi går hjem") trail at 13.2% and 10.3%, buoyed by solid national final wins but lacking Finland's dual-vote edge amid a fragmented field where Greece and Australia lurk as televote threats. With semis looming May 12-14, upcoming rehearsals could shift the wide-open dynamics.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 35 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Finlandia" con 35%, seguido de "Francia" con 13%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 35¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 35% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" ha generado $50 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 6, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026", explora los 35 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" es "Finlandia" con 35%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 35% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Francia" con 13%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.