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Ganador de Eurovisión 2026

Market icon

Ganador de Eurovisión 2026

Finlandia 36.9%

Francia 12.6%

Dinamarca 10.8%

Grecia 6.6%

Polymarket

$57,669,525 Vol.

Finlandia 36.9%

Francia 12.6%

Dinamarca 10.8%

Grecia 6.6%

Polymarket

$57,669,525 Vol.

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Finlandia

$1,912,982 Vol.

37%

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Francia

$1,492,928 Vol.

13%

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Dinamarca

$1,021,065 Vol.

11%

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Grecia

$1,385,348 Vol.

7%

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Australia

$1,249,276 Vol.

6%

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Israel

$1,286,037 Vol.

4%

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Ucrania

$1,196,880 Vol.

3%

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Suecia

$991,805 Vol.

3%

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Italia

$1,593,285 Vol.

2%

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Rumanía

$968,722 Vol.

2%

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Chequia

$835,285 Vol.

1%

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Chipre

$1,162,539 Vol.

1%

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Malta

$1,061,761 Vol.

1%

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Bulgaria

$1,142,738 Vol.

1%

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Alemania

$922,980 Vol.

1%

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Lituania

$1,966,728 Vol.

1%

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Bélgica

$1,273,804 Vol.

1%

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Croacia

$1,001,418 Vol.

1%

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Luxemburgo

$1,076,649 Vol.

1%

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Moldavia

$1,247,714 Vol.

1%

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Noruega

$1,429,848 Vol.

1%

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Suiza

$2,328,763 Vol.

1%

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Reino Unido

$722,341 Vol.

1%

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Albania

$2,345,938 Vol.

<1%

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Austria

$2,435,372 Vol.

<1%

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Estonia

$2,821,921 Vol.

<1%

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Letonia

$2,389,058 Vol.

<1%

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San Marino

$2,630,353 Vol.

<1%

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Armenia

$2,372,431 Vol.

<1%

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Azerbaiyán

$2,744,940 Vol.

<1%

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Georgia

$2,477,587 Vol.

<1%

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Montenegro

$2,996,073 Vol.

<1%

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Polonia

$2,213,173 Vol.

<1%

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Serbia

$845,103 Vol.

<1%

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Portugal

$2,217,093 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen lead Polymarket trader consensus at 37% implied probability for Eurovision 2026 victory, propelled by their dominant UMK national selection win—scoring nearly triple the runner-up—with "Liekinheitin"'s fusion of rock, classical violin, and dance earning broad appeal and unanimous bookmaker backing. France's Monroe trails at 13% as a jury vote frontrunner with "Regarde!", bolstered by direct grand final qualification as a Big Five nation, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard climbs to 11% on rising televote buzz. The EBU's April 2 semi-final running order reveal assigns Finland a prime first semi slot on May 12, fueling recent momentum amid completed national finals, though qualification risks and combined jury-televote scoring introduce volatility ahead of Vienna's May 16 finale.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volumen
$57,669,525
Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen lead Polymarket trader consensus at 37% implied probability for Eurovision 2026 victory, propelled by their dominant UMK national selection win—scoring nearly triple the runner-up—with "Liekinheitin"'s fusion of rock, classical violin, and dance earning broad appeal and unanimous bookmaker backing. France's Monroe trails at 13% as a jury vote frontrunner with "Regarde!", bolstered by direct grand final qualification as a Big Five nation, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard climbs to 11% on rising televote buzz. The EBU's April 2 semi-final running order reveal assigns Finland a prime first semi slot on May 12, fueling recent momentum amid completed national finals, though qualification risks and combined jury-televote scoring introduce volatility ahead of Vienna's May 16 finale.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volumen
$57,669,525
Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 35 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Finlandia" con 37%, seguido de "Francia" con 13%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 37¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 37% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" ha generado $57.7 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 6, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026", explora los 35 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" es "Finlandia" con 37%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 37% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Francia" con 13%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.