Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Finland at 88% implied probability for a top-10 finish in Eurovision 2026, driven by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin" dominating UMK on February 28 and ranking third in Spotify streams as national finals wrapped up last week with Sweden, Poland, and Portugal selections. Israel trails closely at 85% buoyed by perennial televote strength and "Michelle"'s streaming buzz, while Greece (79%), Sweden's chart-topping "My System" (76%), and France (76%) round out frontrunners amid Italy's overall stream lead but perceived jury risks. Vienna hosts May 12–16; recent Heads of Delegation meeting hinted at semi-final draws, with staging rehearsals and diaspora mobilization as key swing factors in this volatile pre-contest phase.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoEurovision 2026: Top 10
Eurovision 2026: Top 10
$106,089 Vol.

Finland
88%

Israel
85%

Greece
78%

Sweden
76%

France
76%

Denmark
73%

Ukraine
72%

Australia
71%

Italy
69%

Romania
43%

Bulgaria
40%

Moldova
40%

Czechia
38%

Cyprus
36%

Latvia
32%

Malta
30%

Croatia
26%

Norway
19%

Albania
18%

United Kingdom
18%

Luxembourg
16%

Armenia
16%

Lithuania
14%

Serbia
14%

Portugal
14%

Georgia
13%

Switzerland
12%

Montenegro
12%

Germany
8%

Poland
8%

Belgium
8%

Azerbaijan
7%

Estonia
7%

San Marino
7%

Austria
6%
$106,089 Vol.

Finland
88%

Israel
85%

Greece
78%

Sweden
76%

France
76%

Denmark
73%

Ukraine
72%

Australia
71%

Italy
69%

Romania
43%

Bulgaria
40%

Moldova
40%

Czechia
38%

Cyprus
36%

Latvia
32%

Malta
30%

Croatia
26%

Norway
19%

Albania
18%

United Kingdom
18%

Luxembourg
16%

Armenia
16%

Lithuania
14%

Serbia
14%

Portugal
14%

Georgia
13%

Switzerland
12%

Montenegro
12%

Germany
8%

Poland
8%

Belgium
8%

Azerbaijan
7%

Estonia
7%

San Marino
7%

Austria
6%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Mercado abierto: Mar 9, 2026, 5:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Finland at 88% implied probability for a top-10 finish in Eurovision 2026, driven by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin" dominating UMK on February 28 and ranking third in Spotify streams as national finals wrapped up last week with Sweden, Poland, and Portugal selections. Israel trails closely at 85% buoyed by perennial televote strength and "Michelle"'s streaming buzz, while Greece (79%), Sweden's chart-topping "My System" (76%), and France (76%) round out frontrunners amid Italy's overall stream lead but perceived jury risks. Vienna hosts May 12–16; recent Heads of Delegation meeting hinted at semi-final draws, with staging rehearsals and diaspora mobilization as key swing factors in this volatile pre-contest phase.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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