Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a [X]% probability of Apple (AAPL) closing above [strike price, e.g., $230] on March 28, 2025, driven primarily by the stock's current trading level around $225 amid a tech sector rally fueled by AI optimism and easing Fed rate cut expectations. Recent catalysts include robust holiday iPhone demand projections and services revenue growth outpacing hardware, with Q2 fiscal results (ending March) due early May potentially influencing late positioning. Key risks: China sales weakness and supply chain tensions; watch Nasdaq futures and March 19 FOMC for macro cues, as AAPL beta exceeds 1.2. Implied volatility suggests 5-7% swings possible before expiration.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado$328,905 Vol.
$210
99%
$220
97%
$230
89%
$240
76%
$250
43%
$260
7%
$270
4%
$280
10%
$290
1%
$300
1%
$310
1%
$320
1%
$330
<1%
$328,905 Vol.
$210
99%
$220
97%
$230
89%
$240
76%
$250
43%
$260
7%
$270
4%
$280
10%
$290
1%
$300
1%
$310
1%
$320
1%
$330
<1%
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Mercado abierto: Feb 27, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a [X]% probability of Apple (AAPL) closing above [strike price, e.g., $230] on March 28, 2025, driven primarily by the stock's current trading level around $225 amid a tech sector rally fueled by AI optimism and easing Fed rate cut expectations. Recent catalysts include robust holiday iPhone demand projections and services revenue growth outpacing hardware, with Q2 fiscal results (ending March) due early May potentially influencing late positioning. Key risks: China sales weakness and supply chain tensions; watch Nasdaq futures and March 19 FOMC for macro cues, as AAPL beta exceeds 1.2. Implied volatility suggests 5-7% swings possible before expiration.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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