Trader consensus reflects a razor-thin contest between world No. 1 Carlos Alcaraz and No. 2 Jannik Sinner at 35.5% implied probabilities each for the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon title, fueled by their unmatched 2026 dominance—Alcaraz’s Australian Open triumph to open the year contrasted with Sinner’s historic Sunshine Double, sweeping Indian Wells over Medvedev and Miami over Lehecka without dropping a set, first since Federer in 2017. Alcaraz’s recent Miami third-round upset loss to Korda kept sentiment balanced, while Novak Djokovic’s right shoulder injury—forcing withdrawals from Miami and Monte Carlo—dropped him to 7.2%. On grass, Alcaraz’s back-to-back Wimbledon defenses highlight his serving prowess and net play, but Sinner’s baseline power and 19-2 record signal upset potential in a wide-open draw.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoCarlos Alcaraz 36%
Jannik Sinner 36%
Novak Djokovic 7.3%
Alexander Zverev 3.7%
$2,790,019 Vol.
$2,790,019 Vol.
Carlos Alcaraz
36%
Jannik Sinner
36%
Novak Djokovic
7%
Alexander Zverev
4%
Daniil Medvedev
3%
João Fonseca
2%
Jack Draper
1%
Ben Shelton
1%
Taylor Fritz
1%
Alexander Bublik
1%
Gabriel Diallo
1%
Jiří Lehečka
1%
Lorenzo Musetti
1%
Lorenzo Sonego
1%
Arthur Fils
1%
Ugo Humbert
1%
Alex de Minaur
1%
Jakub Menšík
1%
Félix Auger-Aliassime
1%
Stefanos Tsitsipas
<1%
Andrey Rublev
<1%
Matteo Berrettini
<1%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
<1%
Flavio Cobolli
<1%
Marin Čilić
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
Casper Ruud
<1%
Sebastian Korda
<1%
Tommy Paul
<1%
Frances Tiafoe
<1%
Alexei Popyrin
<1%
Hubert Hurkacz
<1%
Cameron Norrie
<1%
Tallon Griekspoor
<1%
Francisco Cerúndolo
<1%
Karen Khachanov
<1%
Tomáš Macháč
<1%
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
<1%
Alex Michelsen
<1%
Nicolás Jarry
<1%
Carlos Alcaraz 36%
Jannik Sinner 36%
Novak Djokovic 7.3%
Alexander Zverev 3.7%
$2,790,019 Vol.
$2,790,019 Vol.
Carlos Alcaraz
36%
Jannik Sinner
36%
Novak Djokovic
7%
Alexander Zverev
4%
Daniil Medvedev
3%
João Fonseca
2%
Jack Draper
1%
Ben Shelton
1%
Taylor Fritz
1%
Alexander Bublik
1%
Gabriel Diallo
1%
Jiří Lehečka
1%
Lorenzo Musetti
1%
Lorenzo Sonego
1%
Arthur Fils
1%
Ugo Humbert
1%
Alex de Minaur
1%
Jakub Menšík
1%
Félix Auger-Aliassime
1%
Stefanos Tsitsipas
<1%
Andrey Rublev
<1%
Matteo Berrettini
<1%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
<1%
Flavio Cobolli
<1%
Marin Čilić
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
Casper Ruud
<1%
Sebastian Korda
<1%
Tommy Paul
<1%
Frances Tiafoe
<1%
Alexei Popyrin
<1%
Hubert Hurkacz
<1%
Cameron Norrie
<1%
Tallon Griekspoor
<1%
Francisco Cerúndolo
<1%
Karen Khachanov
<1%
Tomáš Macháč
<1%
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
<1%
Alex Michelsen
<1%
Nicolás Jarry
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus reflects a razor-thin contest between world No. 1 Carlos Alcaraz and No. 2 Jannik Sinner at 35.5% implied probabilities each for the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon title, fueled by their unmatched 2026 dominance—Alcaraz’s Australian Open triumph to open the year contrasted with Sinner’s historic Sunshine Double, sweeping Indian Wells over Medvedev and Miami over Lehecka without dropping a set, first since Federer in 2017. Alcaraz’s recent Miami third-round upset loss to Korda kept sentiment balanced, while Novak Djokovic’s right shoulder injury—forcing withdrawals from Miami and Monte Carlo—dropped him to 7.2%. On grass, Alcaraz’s back-to-back Wimbledon defenses highlight his serving prowess and net play, but Sinner’s baseline power and 19-2 record signal upset potential in a wide-open draw.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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