Fabiano Caruana tops trader consensus at 31% implied probability for the 2026 FIDE Candidates winner, anchored by his world No. 2 classical rating of 2804 and strong 2024 Candidates finish despite mid-pack result, positioning him for the rating qualification spot. Hikaru Nakamura's 19% reflects consistent top-tier form, including podiums in recent Grand Chess Tour legs and elite rapid skills suiting tournament pressure. Rising star Javokhir Sindarov at 15.5% gains from Uzbekistan's 2024 Olympiad silver and junior titles, boosting his FIDE Circuit standing, while Praggnanandhaa's 12.5% ties to his 2024 Candidates bronze and India's gold medal momentum. Anish Giri and Wei Yi round out leaders via steady ratings amid the 2025 qualification path through World Cup, Grand Swiss, and Circuit points.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoFabiano Caruana 31%
Hikaru Nakamura 19%
Javokhir Sindarov 16%
Praggnanandhaa R 13%
$494,536 Vol.
$494,536 Vol.
Fabiano Caruana
31%
Hikaru Nakamura
19%
Javokhir Sindarov
16%
Praggnanandhaa R
13%
Anish Giri
10%
Wei Yi
9%
Andrey Esipenko
3%
Matthias Bluebaum
2%
Fabiano Caruana 31%
Hikaru Nakamura 19%
Javokhir Sindarov 16%
Praggnanandhaa R 13%
$494,536 Vol.
$494,536 Vol.
Fabiano Caruana
31%
Hikaru Nakamura
19%
Javokhir Sindarov
16%
Praggnanandhaa R
13%
Anish Giri
10%
Wei Yi
9%
Andrey Esipenko
3%
Matthias Bluebaum
2%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament per the rules of the FIDE, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament is cancelled, or postponed after April 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIDE; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Mar 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Fabiano Caruana tops trader consensus at 31% implied probability for the 2026 FIDE Candidates winner, anchored by his world No. 2 classical rating of 2804 and strong 2024 Candidates finish despite mid-pack result, positioning him for the rating qualification spot. Hikaru Nakamura's 19% reflects consistent top-tier form, including podiums in recent Grand Chess Tour legs and elite rapid skills suiting tournament pressure. Rising star Javokhir Sindarov at 15.5% gains from Uzbekistan's 2024 Olympiad silver and junior titles, boosting his FIDE Circuit standing, while Praggnanandhaa's 12.5% ties to his 2024 Candidates bronze and India's gold medal momentum. Anish Giri and Wei Yi round out leaders via steady ratings amid the 2025 qualification path through World Cup, Grand Swiss, and Circuit points.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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