tetlock

Beigetreten Mar 2026·9 Aufrufe

$168.12

Positionen Wert

$16.10

Größter Gewinn

Prognosen

Gewinn/Verlust

$9.76

Letzter Tag

Aktuell

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Yes 62¢

45.0 Anteile

62¢

58.5¢

$26.33-$1.58 (-5.64%)

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Yes 62¢

45.0 Anteile

$26.33-$1.58 (-5.64%)

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 56¢

47.7 Anteile

56¢

54.5¢

$26.00-$0.72 (-2.68%)

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 56¢

47.7 Anteile

$26.00-$0.72 (-2.68%)

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

No 50.2¢

53.8 Anteile

50.2¢

45.5¢

$24.49-$2.53 (-9.35%)

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

No 50.2¢

53.8 Anteile

$24.49-$2.53 (-9.35%)

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?

Yes 44¢

30.4 Anteile

44¢

61¢

$18.52$5.16 (38.64%)

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?

Yes 44¢

30.4 Anteile

$18.52$5.16 (38.64%)

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

No 69¢

21.7 Anteile

69¢

78.9¢

$17.14$2.14 (14.28%)

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

No 69¢

21.7 Anteile

$17.14$2.14 (14.28%)

Israel closes its airspace by May 31?

No 77¢

19.5 Anteile

77¢

81.5¢

$15.87$0.87 (5.83%)

Israel closes its airspace by May 31?

No 77¢

19.5 Anteile

$15.87$0.87 (5.83%)

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

No 61¢

22.4 Anteile

61¢

59.5¢

$13.32-$0.34 (-2.46%)

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

No 61¢

22.4 Anteile

$13.32-$0.34 (-2.46%)

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?

No 55¢

23.6 Anteile

55¢

56¢

$13.24$0.24 (1.82%)

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?

No 55¢

23.6 Anteile

$13.24$0.24 (1.82%)

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 86¢

2.3 Anteile

86¢

84.5¢

$1.97-$0.03 (-1.74%)

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 86¢

2.3 Anteile

$1.97-$0.03 (-1.74%)

Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?

Yes 74.9¢

2.8 Anteile

74.9¢

62.5¢

$1.78-$0.35 (-16.56%)

Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?

Yes 74.9¢

2.8 Anteile

$1.78-$0.35 (-16.56%)

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Yes 6.6¢

15.2 Anteile

6.6¢

6.8¢

$1.03$0.03 (3.03%)

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Yes 6.6¢

15.2 Anteile

$1.03$0.03 (3.03%)

Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Yes 1.9¢

52.6 Anteile

1.9¢

2¢

$1.03$0.03 (2.63%)

Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Yes 1.9¢

52.6 Anteile

$1.03$0.03 (2.63%)

Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Yes 4¢

25.0 Anteile

4¢

$1.00$0.00 (0%)

Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Yes 4¢

25.0 Anteile

$1.00$0.00 (0%)

Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Yes 7¢

14.3 Anteile

7¢

6.9¢

$0.99-$0.01 (-1.42%)

Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Yes 7¢

14.3 Anteile

$0.99-$0.01 (-1.42%)

Yes 1.6¢

62.5 Anteile

1.6¢

1.1¢

$0.66-$0.34 (-34.38%)

Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Yes 1.6¢

62.5 Anteile

$0.66-$0.34 (-34.38%)