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Politik·Auszeichnungen

Friedensnobelpreisträger 2026

Market icon
Politik·Auszeichnungen

Friedensnobelpreisträger 2026

Julija Nawalnaja 11%

Titel des Gruppeneintrags: Volodymyr Zelenskyy 9.2%

Donald Trump 8%

Papst Leo XIV 4.5%

Polymarket

$11,996,584 Vol.

Julija Nawalnaja 11%

Titel des Gruppeneintrags: Volodymyr Zelenskyy 9.2%

Donald Trump 8%

Papst Leo XIV 4.5%

Polymarket

$11,996,584 Vol.

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Julija Nawalnaja

$80,565 Vol.

11%

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Titel des Gruppeneintrags: Volodymyr Zelenskyy

$403,733 Vol.

9%

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Donald Trump

$2,321,500 Vol.

8%

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Papst Leo XIV

$502,299 Vol.

5%

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Internationaler Gerichtshof

$519,156 Vol.

4%

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Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

$366,929 Vol.

4%

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UNRWA

$1,657,487 Vol.

3%

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Greta Thunberg

$943,256 Vol.

3%

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Narendra Modi

$293,643 Vol.

3%

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Gruppeneintrag-Titel: Charlie Kirk

$555,421 Vol.

2%

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Titel des Gruppenitems: Elon Musk

$525,794 Vol.

2%

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António Guterres

$143,105 Vol.

2%

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Mohammed bin Salman

$572,801 Vol.

2%

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Xi Jinping

$769,680 Vol.

2%

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Gruppeneintragstitel: Julian Assange

$339,499 Vol.

2%

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Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

$407,102 Vol.

2%

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Khaled Mashal

$204,908 Vol.

1%

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Ahmed al-Sharaa

$571,623 Vol.

1%

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Wladimir Putin

$498,990 Vol.

1%

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Gruppen-Item-Titel: Benjamin Netanyahu

$319,287 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a wide-open Nobel Peace Prize 2026 race, with Yulia Navalnaya holding a slim frontrunner edge at 10.5% implied probability due to her unyielding campaign carrying forward Alexei Navalny's legacy amid Russia's ongoing suppression of dissent. Volodymyr Zelenskyy's 9.3% surged yesterday on a high-profile nomination from University of Oslo professor Dag Øistein, framing Ukraine's resistance as a bulwark for European peace amid stalled ceasefire talks. Donald Trump's steady 7.5% draws from historical Abraham Accords momentum, though recent U.S. foreign policy shifts dilute his narrative. No outcome cracks double digits firmly, underscoring the Norwegian Nobel Committee's unpredictable voting patterns favoring underdogs; key watchpoints include precursor endorsements and October 10 announcement.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Volumen
$11,996,584
Enddatum
10. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a wide-open Nobel Peace Prize 2026 race, with Yulia Navalnaya holding a slim frontrunner edge at 10.5% implied probability due to her unyielding campaign carrying forward Alexei Navalny's legacy amid Russia's ongoing suppression of dissent. Volodymyr Zelenskyy's 9.3% surged yesterday on a high-profile nomination from University of Oslo professor Dag Øistein, framing Ukraine's resistance as a bulwark for European peace amid stalled ceasefire talks. Donald Trump's steady 7.5% draws from historical Abraham Accords momentum, though recent U.S. foreign policy shifts dilute his narrative. No outcome cracks double digits firmly, underscoring the Norwegian Nobel Committee's unpredictable voting patterns favoring underdogs; key watchpoints include precursor endorsements and October 10 announcement.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Volumen
$11,996,584
Enddatum
10. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Friedensnobelpreisträger 2026" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 20 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Julija Nawalnaja" mit 11%, gefolgt von „Titel des Gruppeneintrags: Volodymyr Zelenskyy" mit 9%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 11¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 11% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Friedensnobelpreisträger 2026" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $12 million generiert, seit der Markt am Oct 16, 2025 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Friedensnobelpreisträger 2026" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 20 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Friedensnobelpreisträger 2026" ist „Julija Nawalnaja" mit 11%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 11% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Titel des Gruppeneintrags: Volodymyr Zelenskyy" mit 9%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Friedensnobelpreisträger 2026" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.