Market icon

Friedensnobelpreisträger 2026

Market icon

Friedensnobelpreisträger 2026

Titel des Gruppeneintrags: Volodymyr Zelenskyy 11.4%

Donald Trump 9%

Julija Nawalnaja 9%

Internationaler Gerichtshof 6.0%

Polymarket

$7,752,085 Vol.

Titel des Gruppeneintrags: Volodymyr Zelenskyy 11.4%

Donald Trump 9%

Julija Nawalnaja 9%

Internationaler Gerichtshof 6.0%

Polymarket

$7,752,085 Vol.

Market icon

Titel des Gruppeneintrags: Volodymyr Zelenskyy

$304,299 Vol.

11%

Market icon

Donald Trump

$2,059,802 Vol.

9%

Market icon

Julija Nawalnaja

$63,552 Vol.

9%

Market icon

Internationaler Gerichtshof

$126,822 Vol.

6%

Market icon

Papst Leo XIV

$142,822 Vol.

5%

Market icon

UNRWA

$1,354,745 Vol.

5%

Market icon

Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

$133,805 Vol.

4%

Market icon

Titel des Gruppenitems: Elon Musk

$446,658 Vol.

3%

Market icon

Gruppeneintrag-Titel: Charlie Kirk

$251,941 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Narendra Modi

$180,050 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Xi Jinping

$232,903 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Greta Thunberg

$738,196 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Khaled Mashal

$80,910 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

$222,642 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Mohammed bin Salman

$231,281 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Ahmed al-Sharaa

$411,054 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Gruppeneintragstitel: Julian Assange

$244,533 Vol.

1%

Market icon

António Guterres

$66,778 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Wladimir Putin

$297,795 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Gruppen-Item-Titel: Benjamin Netanyahu

$161,497 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Volumen
$7,752,085
Enddatum
Oct 10, 2026
Markt eröffnet
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Friedensnobelpreisträger 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 20 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Titel des Gruppeneintrags: Volodymyr Zelenskyy" at 11%, followed by "Donald Trump" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 11¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 11% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Friedensnobelpreisträger 2026" has generated $7.8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 16, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Friedensnobelpreisträger 2026," browse the 20 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Friedensnobelpreisträger 2026" is "Titel des Gruppeneintrags: Volodymyr Zelenskyy" at 11%, meaning the market assigns a 11% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Donald Trump" at 9%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Friedensnobelpreisträger 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.