Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the Austin metro median home value near $417,000 for the April 1 snapshot, with 49.9% implied probability on the 415-420k bin leading due to Zillow's latest Home Value Index (ZHVI) for Austin-Round Rock at $424,642 as of late February—down 5.9% year-over-year—tempered by Unlock MLS February median sales price of $412,000, a 3.6% annual decline signaling softening demand. Elevated inventory and longer days-on-market (96 days per Redfin) have cooled post-pandemic momentum, shifting sentiment toward stabilization rather than recovery. With resolution imminent in days, traders eye minimal near-term volatility absent fresh economic data, though spring listing surges could nudge values higher.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertWie hoch wird der durchschnittliche Hauswert in der Metropolregion Austin, Texas, am 1. April sein?
Wie hoch wird der durchschnittliche Hauswert in der Metropolregion Austin, Texas, am 1. April sein?
415 - 420 Tsd. 31.8%
410 - 415 Tsd. 13.8%
405 - 410 Tsd. 12%
420 - 425 Tsd. 11.8%
<400.000
7%
400 - 405 Tsd.
3%
405 - 410 Tsd.
8%
410 - 415 Tsd.
21%
415 - 420 Tsd.
50%
420 - 425 Tsd.
12%
>425k
6%
415 - 420 Tsd. 31.8%
410 - 415 Tsd. 13.8%
405 - 410 Tsd. 12%
420 - 425 Tsd. 11.8%
<400.000
7%
400 - 405 Tsd.
3%
405 - 410 Tsd.
8%
410 - 415 Tsd.
21%
415 - 420 Tsd.
50%
420 - 425 Tsd.
12%
>425k
6%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/19)
Markt eröffnet: Feb 27, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/19)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the Austin metro median home value near $417,000 for the April 1 snapshot, with 49.9% implied probability on the 415-420k bin leading due to Zillow's latest Home Value Index (ZHVI) for Austin-Round Rock at $424,642 as of late February—down 5.9% year-over-year—tempered by Unlock MLS February median sales price of $412,000, a 3.6% annual decline signaling softening demand. Elevated inventory and longer days-on-market (96 days per Redfin) have cooled post-pandemic momentum, shifting sentiment toward stabilization rather than recovery. With resolution imminent in days, traders eye minimal near-term volatility absent fresh economic data, though spring listing surges could nudge values higher.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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