Trader sentiment on Chicago's median home value as of April 1 clusters tightly around $324k–$330k, with 327–330k edging out at 39.8% implied probability versus 36.0% for 324–327k, reflecting expectations of flat-to-modest appreciation amid persistent 7%+ mortgage rates curbing buyer demand. Zillow's latest February Home Value Index pegged Chicago metro at approximately $322k, up just 1.2% year-over-year but stalling monthly due to low inventory and softening sales volume. Key differentiators include potential March inventory upticks from seasonal listings and Fed rate cut signals, which could nudge odds higher if CPI data softens; otherwise, elevated affordability pressures favor the lower bin. Traders eye Zillow's April 2 release for resolution, with $326.5k as the market-implied median.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertWhat will the median home value in Chicago be on April 1?
What will the median home value in Chicago be on April 1?
327 - 330k 36.9%
324 - 327k 36%
321 - 324k 19%
330 - 333k 3.7%
<321k
1%
321 - 324k
19%
324 - 327k
35%
327 - 330k
37%
330 - 333k
9%
333 - 336k
1%
336 - 339 Tsd.
1%
>339k
1%
327 - 330k 36.9%
324 - 327k 36%
321 - 324k 19%
330 - 333k 3.7%
<321k
1%
321 - 324k
19%
324 - 327k
35%
327 - 330k
37%
330 - 333k
9%
333 - 336k
1%
336 - 339 Tsd.
1%
>339k
1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/22)
Markt eröffnet: Feb 27, 2026, 5:51 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Chicago's median home value as of April 1 clusters tightly around $324k–$330k, with 327–330k edging out at 39.8% implied probability versus 36.0% for 324–327k, reflecting expectations of flat-to-modest appreciation amid persistent 7%+ mortgage rates curbing buyer demand. Zillow's latest February Home Value Index pegged Chicago metro at approximately $322k, up just 1.2% year-over-year but stalling monthly due to low inventory and softening sales volume. Key differentiators include potential March inventory upticks from seasonal listings and Fed rate cut signals, which could nudge odds higher if CPI data softens; otherwise, elevated affordability pressures favor the lower bin. Traders eye Zillow's April 2 release for resolution, with $326.5k as the market-implied median.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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