Trader sentiment on silver's June settlement price remains fragmented, with the >$115 bucket edging out at 17.0% implied probability amid a tight race against lower bands like $60-$70 (13.1%) and <$50 (13.0%), reflecting competing bullish and bearish forces backed by real capital. Driving the upside skew, surging industrial demand from solar and EV sectors—bolstered by China's stimulus—pairs with safe-haven flows amid geopolitical tensions and Fed rate cut expectations, pushing spot prices above $31 recently. Countering this, a strengthening USD and elevated real yields cap gains, while supply disruptions from mine strikes add volatility. Key differentiators hinge on upcoming CPI data and FOMC signals, with trader consensus pricing modest gains to $32-$35 absent major catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertWorauf wird sich Silver (SI) im Juni einigen?
Worauf wird sich Silver (SI) im Juni einigen?
>115 $ 17%
$100-$115 14%
<50 $ 13%
$60-$70 12.8%
$375,350 Vol.
$375,350 Vol.
<50 $
13%
$50-$60
12%
$60-$70
13%
$70-$80
12%
80–90 $
11%
$90-$100
11%
$100-$115
14%
>115 $
17%
>115 $ 17%
$100-$115 14%
<50 $ 13%
$60-$70 12.8%
$375,350 Vol.
$375,350 Vol.
<50 $
13%
$50-$60
12%
$60-$70
13%
$70-$80
12%
80–90 $
11%
$90-$100
11%
$100-$115
14%
>115 $
17%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader sentiment on silver's June settlement price remains fragmented, with the >$115 bucket edging out at 17.0% implied probability amid a tight race against lower bands like $60-$70 (13.1%) and <$50 (13.0%), reflecting competing bullish and bearish forces backed by real capital. Driving the upside skew, surging industrial demand from solar and EV sectors—bolstered by China's stimulus—pairs with safe-haven flows amid geopolitical tensions and Fed rate cut expectations, pushing spot prices above $31 recently. Countering this, a strengthening USD and elevated real yields cap gains, while supply disruptions from mine strikes add volatility. Key differentiators hinge on upcoming CPI data and FOMC signals, with trader consensus pricing modest gains to $32-$35 absent major catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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