Market icon
Politik·Ungarn-Wahl

Ungarn-Wahl: Fidesz-KDNP gewinnt___Sitze?

Market icon
Politik·Ungarn-Wahl

Ungarn-Wahl: Fidesz-KDNP gewinnt___Sitze?

$182,763 Vol.

12. Apr. 2026
Polymarket

$182,763 Vol.

Polymarket

60+

$365 Vol.

89%

70+

$207 Vol.

65%

80+

$110,364 Vol.

45%

90+

$48,134 Vol.

40%

100+

$10,407 Vol.

29%

110+

$13,332 Vol.

23%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Fidesz-KDNP wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified coalition. If the specified coalition dissolves prior to the election, this market will resolve based on the total number of seats won by the two component parties. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).With Hungary's parliamentary election set for April 12, recent polls show Péter Magyar's centre-right Tisza party widening its lead over Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's Fidesz-KDNP coalition by 19-23 points among likely voters, marking the strongest opposition challenge since 2010 and driving trader caution on Fidesz seat projections in the 199-seat National Assembly. This mixed system—106 single-member districts and 93 proportional list seats—amplifies regional battlegrounds and turnout effects, where Fidesz previously secured a constitutional supermajority of 135 seats in 2022. Polling volatility persists amid disinformation claims, voter intimidation allegations, and final campaign pushes, including a planned visit by US Vice President JD Vance to Budapest next week supporting Orbán. Outcomes hinge on undecided voters and coalition dynamics post-vote.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Fidesz-KDNP wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified coalition. If the specified coalition dissolves prior to the election, this market will resolve based on the total number of seats won by the two component parties.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Volumen
$182,763
Enddatum
12. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Mar 16, 2026, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Fidesz-KDNP wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified coalition. If the specified coalition dissolves prior to the election, this market will resolve based on the total number of seats won by the two component parties. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Fidesz-KDNP wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified coalition. If the specified coalition dissolves prior to the election, this market will resolve based on the total number of seats won by the two component parties. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).With Hungary's parliamentary election set for April 12, recent polls show Péter Magyar's centre-right Tisza party widening its lead over Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's Fidesz-KDNP coalition by 19-23 points among likely voters, marking the strongest opposition challenge since 2010 and driving trader caution on Fidesz seat projections in the 199-seat National Assembly. This mixed system—106 single-member districts and 93 proportional list seats—amplifies regional battlegrounds and turnout effects, where Fidesz previously secured a constitutional supermajority of 135 seats in 2022. Polling volatility persists amid disinformation claims, voter intimidation allegations, and final campaign pushes, including a planned visit by US Vice President JD Vance to Budapest next week supporting Orbán. Outcomes hinge on undecided voters and coalition dynamics post-vote.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Fidesz-KDNP wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified coalition. If the specified coalition dissolves prior to the election, this market will resolve based on the total number of seats won by the two component parties.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Volumen
$182,763
Enddatum
12. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Mar 16, 2026, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Fidesz-KDNP wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified coalition. If the specified coalition dissolves prior to the election, this market will resolve based on the total number of seats won by the two component parties. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

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„Ungarn-Wahl: Fidesz-KDNP gewinnt___Sitze?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 6 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „60+" mit 89%, gefolgt von „70+" mit 65%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 89¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 89% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

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