Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts and global models like ECMWF and GFS project Wuhan's highest temperature on April 1 at around 24°C, driving trader consensus with 57.5% implied probability for that outcome under clear skies and mild southerly winds from a building high-pressure ridge. Recent observations show March 31 highs near 17-18°C amid lingering cool air, but accelerating spring warming—above climatological norms of 20-22°C for early April—has shifted odds from prior 22-23°C favoritism, with 25°C at 18% reflecting potential afternoon peaks up to 25°C per AccuWeather guidance. Uncertainty persists in exact timing of solar heating and any stray clouds; real-time station data from Hankou observatory will resolve by evening.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Wuhan on April 1?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 1?
24°C 56%
25°C 20%
23°C 15%
26°C 3.3%
$58,187 Vol.
$58,187 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
15%
24°C
56%
25°C
20%
26°C
3%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
24°C 56%
25°C 20%
23°C 15%
26°C 3.3%
$58,187 Vol.
$58,187 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
15%
24°C
56%
25°C
20%
26°C
3%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts and global models like ECMWF and GFS project Wuhan's highest temperature on April 1 at around 24°C, driving trader consensus with 57.5% implied probability for that outcome under clear skies and mild southerly winds from a building high-pressure ridge. Recent observations show March 31 highs near 17-18°C amid lingering cool air, but accelerating spring warming—above climatological norms of 20-22°C for early April—has shifted odds from prior 22-23°C favoritism, with 25°C at 18% reflecting potential afternoon peaks up to 25°C per AccuWeather guidance. Uncertainty persists in exact timing of solar heating and any stray clouds; real-time station data from Hankou observatory will resolve by evening.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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