MetService observations from Wellington International Airport, the official resolution source, confirm a peak temperature of 17°C reached earlier today under a building high-pressure ridge and persistent southerly winds that capped warming potential after a chilly start. This aligns precisely with MetService's latest forecast of a 17°C high amid fine conditions and cloud breakup in the morning, consistent with April climatology where daily maxima average 16–18°C. Trader consensus at 99.9% for 17°C reflects skin-in-the-game alignment with verified hourly data, as current readings hover around 15–16°C with evening cooling underway. Realistic challenges include a late northerly wind shift boosting insolation or post-day measurement revisions, but southerly dominance and model consensus make these low-probability tail risks. Final airport data expected within 24 hours.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Wellington am 1. April?
Höchste Temperatur in Wellington am 1. April?
17°C 99.8%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
20°C oder mehr <1%
$262,816 Vol.
$262,816 Vol.
17°C
100%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C oder mehr
<1%
17°C 99.8%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
20°C oder mehr <1%
$262,816 Vol.
$262,816 Vol.
17°C
100%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C oder mehr
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 29, 2026, 2:18 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...MetService observations from Wellington International Airport, the official resolution source, confirm a peak temperature of 17°C reached earlier today under a building high-pressure ridge and persistent southerly winds that capped warming potential after a chilly start. This aligns precisely with MetService's latest forecast of a 17°C high amid fine conditions and cloud breakup in the morning, consistent with April climatology where daily maxima average 16–18°C. Trader consensus at 99.9% for 17°C reflects skin-in-the-game alignment with verified hourly data, as current readings hover around 15–16°C with evening cooling underway. Realistic challenges include a late northerly wind shift boosting insolation or post-day measurement revisions, but southerly dominance and model consensus make these low-probability tail risks. Final airport data expected within 24 hours.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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