**Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 17°C in Tokyo on April 1, 2026, at 99.3% implied probability, anchored by the Japan Meteorological Agency's (JMA) latest early-morning forecast projecting a daytime high of 17–18°C under overcast skies and patchy rain.** Current observations from JMA's Tokyo station show morning temperatures hovering around 12–14°C with persistent cloud cover limiting solar heating, aligning with ensemble model outputs from global forecasting systems that indicate weak insolation and southeasterly winds capping warming. April climatology typically sees highs near 19°C, but today's cooler-than-normal setup—driven by a lingering frontal boundary—supports this positioning. Upside risks include afternoon clearing for a brief 18°C spike, though high humidity and model uncertainty around 1°C keep higher outcomes improbable; JMA hourly updates through evening will firm resolution based on official maximum readings.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Tokyo on April 1?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 1?
17°C 99.6%
18°C <1%
19°C or higher <1%
$214,483 Vol.
$214,483 Vol.
1. Apr. 2026
17°C
100%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
1%
17°C 99.6%
18°C <1%
19°C or higher <1%
$214,483 Vol.
$214,483 Vol.
1. Apr. 2026
17°C
$44,701 Vol.
100%
18°C
$18,901 Vol.
1%
19°C or higher
$32,998 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 17°C in Tokyo on April 1, 2026, at 99.3% implied probability, anchored by the Japan Meteorological Agency's (JMA) latest early-morning forecast projecting a daytime high of 17–18°C under overcast skies and patchy rain.** Current observations from JMA's Tokyo station show morning temperatures hovering around 12–14°C with persistent cloud cover limiting solar heating, aligning with ensemble model outputs from global forecasting systems that indicate weak insolation and southeasterly winds capping warming. April climatology typically sees highs near 19°C, but today's cooler-than-normal setup—driven by a lingering frontal boundary—supports this positioning. Upside risks include afternoon clearing for a brief 18°C spike, though high humidity and model uncertainty around 1°C keep higher outcomes improbable; JMA hourly updates through evening will firm resolution based on official maximum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 29, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
Volumen
$214,483Enddatum
1. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 29, 2026, 2:43 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 17°C in Tokyo on April 1, 2026, at 99.3% implied probability, anchored by the Japan Meteorological Agency's (JMA) latest early-morning forecast projecting a daytime high of 17–18°C under overcast skies and patchy rain.** Current observations from JMA's Tokyo station show morning temperatures hovering around 12–14°C with persistent cloud cover limiting solar heating, aligning with ensemble model outputs from global forecasting systems that indicate weak insolation and southeasterly winds capping warming. April climatology typically sees highs near 19°C, but today's cooler-than-normal setup—driven by a lingering frontal boundary—supports this positioning. Upside risks include afternoon clearing for a brief 18°C spike, though high humidity and model uncertainty around 1°C keep higher outcomes improbable; JMA hourly updates through evening will firm resolution based on official maximum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$214,483Enddatum
1. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 29, 2026, 2:43 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 17°C in Tokyo on April 1, 2026, at 99.3% implied probability, anchored by the Japan Meteorological Agency's (JMA) latest early-morning forecast projecting a daytime high of 17–18°C under overcast skies and patchy rain.** Current observations from JMA's Tokyo station show morning temperatures hovering around 12–14°C with persistent cloud cover limiting solar heating, aligning with ensemble model outputs from global forecasting systems that indicate weak insolation and southeasterly winds capping warming. April climatology typically sees highs near 19°C, but today's cooler-than-normal setup—driven by a lingering frontal boundary—supports this positioning. Upside risks include afternoon clearing for a brief 18°C spike, though high humidity and model uncertainty around 1°C keep higher outcomes improbable; JMA hourly updates through evening will firm resolution based on official maximum readings.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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