Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 27°C (99.3%) as Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 1, reflecting real-time surface observations from China Meteorological Administration stations showing a midday peak of 27°C amid persistent cloud cover and moderate humidity. Short-range numerical weather prediction models, including localized GFS and ECMWF runs, align on no further warming potential into evening, constrained by southeasterly winds and scattered showers typical of early April's transitional monsoon patterns. Climatological baselines support this, with April average highs near 26°C and historical maxima rarely exceeding 28°C under similar overcast conditions. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing skies allowing a late-afternoon surge to 28°C or higher, though probability remains below 1% per model ensembles; final hourly data releases by midnight local time will confirm resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Shenzhen on April 1?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 1?
27°C 98.7%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$195,488 Vol.
$195,488 Vol.
1. Apr. 2026
27°C
99%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 98.7%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$195,488 Vol.
$195,488 Vol.
1. Apr. 2026
27°C
$9,322 Vol.
99%
28°C
$10,412 Vol.
1%
29°C
$12,344 Vol.
1%
30°C
$11,544 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$8,502 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 27°C (99.3%) as Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 1, reflecting real-time surface observations from China Meteorological Administration stations showing a midday peak of 27°C amid persistent cloud cover and moderate humidity. Short-range numerical weather prediction models, including localized GFS and ECMWF runs, align on no further warming potential into evening, constrained by southeasterly winds and scattered showers typical of early April's transitional monsoon patterns. Climatological baselines support this, with April average highs near 26°C and historical maxima rarely exceeding 28°C under similar overcast conditions. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing skies allowing a late-afternoon surge to 28°C or higher, though probability remains below 1% per model ensembles; final hourly data releases by midnight local time will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 29, 2026, 3:21 PM ET
Volumen
$195,488Enddatum
1. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 29, 2026, 3:21 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 27°C (99.3%) as Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 1, reflecting real-time surface observations from China Meteorological Administration stations showing a midday peak of 27°C amid persistent cloud cover and moderate humidity. Short-range numerical weather prediction models, including localized GFS and ECMWF runs, align on no further warming potential into evening, constrained by southeasterly winds and scattered showers typical of early April's transitional monsoon patterns. Climatological baselines support this, with April average highs near 26°C and historical maxima rarely exceeding 28°C under similar overcast conditions. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing skies allowing a late-afternoon surge to 28°C or higher, though probability remains below 1% per model ensembles; final hourly data releases by midnight local time will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$195,488Enddatum
1. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 29, 2026, 3:21 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 27°C (99.3%) as Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 1, reflecting real-time surface observations from China Meteorological Administration stations showing a midday peak of 27°C amid persistent cloud cover and moderate humidity. Short-range numerical weather prediction models, including localized GFS and ECMWF runs, align on no further warming potential into evening, constrained by southeasterly winds and scattered showers typical of early April's transitional monsoon patterns. Climatological baselines support this, with April average highs near 26°C and historical maxima rarely exceeding 28°C under similar overcast conditions. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing skies allowing a late-afternoon surge to 28°C or higher, though probability remains below 1% per model ensembles; final hourly data releases by midnight local time will confirm resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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