Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS converge on a daytime high near 20°C in Shanghai today, driving the 85.5% market-implied probability for that outcome amid hazy sunshine, light WSW winds at 6 mph, and low humidity around 6%. Current morning observations near 18°C align with this trajectory, as minimal cloud cover and a stable high-pressure ridge allow gradual warming above early April climatological averages of 18–19°C at stations like Xujiahui or Pudong. Trader consensus reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of urban heat island effects and weak sea breeze moderation, though inherent model uncertainty could shift outcomes by 1–2°C; monitor hourly updates from official agencies through evening for resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Shanghai on April 1?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 1?
20°C 90%
21°C 10.5%
22°C 1.3%
23°C <1%
$314,448 Vol.
$314,448 Vol.
1. Apr. 2026
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
90%
21°C
11%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
<1%
20°C 90%
21°C 10.5%
22°C 1.3%
23°C <1%
$314,448 Vol.
$314,448 Vol.
1. Apr. 2026
18°C
$47,842 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$54,692 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$24,164 Vol.
90%
21°C
$26,830 Vol.
11%
22°C
$31,425 Vol.
1%
23°C
$22,401 Vol.
1%
24°C or higher
$21,710 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS converge on a daytime high near 20°C in Shanghai today, driving the 85.5% market-implied probability for that outcome amid hazy sunshine, light WSW winds at 6 mph, and low humidity around 6%. Current morning observations near 18°C align with this trajectory, as minimal cloud cover and a stable high-pressure ridge allow gradual warming above early April climatological averages of 18–19°C at stations like Xujiahui or Pudong. Trader consensus reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of urban heat island effects and weak sea breeze moderation, though inherent model uncertainty could shift outcomes by 1–2°C; monitor hourly updates from official agencies through evening for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 29, 2026, 5:09 PM ET
Volumen
$314,448Enddatum
1. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 29, 2026, 5:09 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS converge on a daytime high near 20°C in Shanghai today, driving the 85.5% market-implied probability for that outcome amid hazy sunshine, light WSW winds at 6 mph, and low humidity around 6%. Current morning observations near 18°C align with this trajectory, as minimal cloud cover and a stable high-pressure ridge allow gradual warming above early April climatological averages of 18–19°C at stations like Xujiahui or Pudong. Trader consensus reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of urban heat island effects and weak sea breeze moderation, though inherent model uncertainty could shift outcomes by 1–2°C; monitor hourly updates from official agencies through evening for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$314,448Enddatum
1. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 29, 2026, 5:09 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS converge on a daytime high near 20°C in Shanghai today, driving the 85.5% market-implied probability for that outcome amid hazy sunshine, light WSW winds at 6 mph, and low humidity around 6%. Current morning observations near 18°C align with this trajectory, as minimal cloud cover and a stable high-pressure ridge allow gradual warming above early April climatological averages of 18–19°C at stations like Xujiahui or Pudong. Trader consensus reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of urban heat island effects and weak sea breeze moderation, though inherent model uncertainty could shift outcomes by 1–2°C; monitor hourly updates from official agencies through evening for resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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