Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast projects a clear day in Seoul on April 2 with light winds and minimal precipitation risk, implying a maximum temperature near 17°C through enhanced solar insolation—elevating market-implied odds for 15°C (24%) and 16°C or higher (20%). However, global models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles hold steady at 12–14°C, reflecting potential persistent mid-level clouds or cool northerly advection from recent frontal passages, which cluster probabilities around 12°C (19.5%), 13°C (17%), and 14°C (17%). This model divergence, amid early April climatological averages of 13–15°C and 2026's warmer spring anomaly, underscores inherent short-range forecast uncertainty; traders await evening model updates for resolution at the official Seoul station.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Seoul on April 2?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 2?
15°C 25%
16°C or higher 19.7%
13°C 18%
14°C 18%
$36,485 Vol.
$36,485 Vol.
2. Apr. 2026
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
2%
11°C
10%
12°C
17%
13°C
18%
14°C
18%
15°C
25%
16°C or higher
20%
15°C 25%
16°C or higher 19.7%
13°C 18%
14°C 18%
$36,485 Vol.
$36,485 Vol.
2. Apr. 2026
6°C or below
$7,075 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$2,887 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$3,076 Vol.
1%
9°C
$3,812 Vol.
2%
10°C
$3,280 Vol.
2%
11°C
$2,567 Vol.
10%
12°C
$2,026 Vol.
17%
13°C
$2,625 Vol.
18%
14°C
$1,617 Vol.
18%
15°C
$2,106 Vol.
25%
16°C or higher
$5,472 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast projects a clear day in Seoul on April 2 with light winds and minimal precipitation risk, implying a maximum temperature near 17°C through enhanced solar insolation—elevating market-implied odds for 15°C (24%) and 16°C or higher (20%). However, global models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles hold steady at 12–14°C, reflecting potential persistent mid-level clouds or cool northerly advection from recent frontal passages, which cluster probabilities around 12°C (19.5%), 13°C (17%), and 14°C (17%). This model divergence, amid early April climatological averages of 13–15°C and 2026's warmer spring anomaly, underscores inherent short-range forecast uncertainty; traders await evening model updates for resolution at the official Seoul station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 29, 2026, 3:28 PM ET
Volumen
$36,485Enddatum
2. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 29, 2026, 3:28 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast projects a clear day in Seoul on April 2 with light winds and minimal precipitation risk, implying a maximum temperature near 17°C through enhanced solar insolation—elevating market-implied odds for 15°C (24%) and 16°C or higher (20%). However, global models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles hold steady at 12–14°C, reflecting potential persistent mid-level clouds or cool northerly advection from recent frontal passages, which cluster probabilities around 12°C (19.5%), 13°C (17%), and 14°C (17%). This model divergence, amid early April climatological averages of 13–15°C and 2026's warmer spring anomaly, underscores inherent short-range forecast uncertainty; traders await evening model updates for resolution at the official Seoul station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$36,485Enddatum
2. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 29, 2026, 3:28 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast projects a clear day in Seoul on April 2 with light winds and minimal precipitation risk, implying a maximum temperature near 17°C through enhanced solar insolation—elevating market-implied odds for 15°C (24%) and 16°C or higher (20%). However, global models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles hold steady at 12–14°C, reflecting potential persistent mid-level clouds or cool northerly advection from recent frontal passages, which cluster probabilities around 12°C (19.5%), 13°C (17%), and 14°C (17%). This model divergence, amid early April climatological averages of 13–15°C and 2026's warmer spring anomaly, underscores inherent short-range forecast uncertainty; traders await evening model updates for resolution at the official Seoul station.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen