Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts and real-time observations lock in a Seoul daytime high of 14°C on April 1, with morning lows near 9°C at official stations amid mostly cloudy conditions and light onshore winds from a mild upper-air trough. This aligns with early April climatology—averaging 14°C highs under transitioning ENSO-neutral patterns post-La Niña—supported by consensus across ECMWF and GFS models showing limited solar insolation due to persistent cloud cover. The 99.7% market-implied probability captures traders' confidence in this data, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessment of low variability. Upside risks to 15°C or higher remain slim but possible via prolonged clearing or southerly wind shifts; KMA hourly updates through evening will finalize resolution based on Gimpo Airport measurements.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Seoul on April 1?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 1?
14°C 99.7%
15°C <1%
16°C or higher <1%
12°C <1%
$355,022 Vol.
$355,022 Vol.
1. Apr. 2026
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
14°C 99.7%
15°C <1%
16°C or higher <1%
12°C <1%
$355,022 Vol.
$355,022 Vol.
1. Apr. 2026
12°C
$48,339 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$46,663 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$33,934 Vol.
100%
15°C
$27,361 Vol.
<1%
16°C or higher
$43,282 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts and real-time observations lock in a Seoul daytime high of 14°C on April 1, with morning lows near 9°C at official stations amid mostly cloudy conditions and light onshore winds from a mild upper-air trough. This aligns with early April climatology—averaging 14°C highs under transitioning ENSO-neutral patterns post-La Niña—supported by consensus across ECMWF and GFS models showing limited solar insolation due to persistent cloud cover. The 99.7% market-implied probability captures traders' confidence in this data, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessment of low variability. Upside risks to 15°C or higher remain slim but possible via prolonged clearing or southerly wind shifts; KMA hourly updates through evening will finalize resolution based on Gimpo Airport measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ET
Volumen
$355,022Enddatum
1. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts and real-time observations lock in a Seoul daytime high of 14°C on April 1, with morning lows near 9°C at official stations amid mostly cloudy conditions and light onshore winds from a mild upper-air trough. This aligns with early April climatology—averaging 14°C highs under transitioning ENSO-neutral patterns post-La Niña—supported by consensus across ECMWF and GFS models showing limited solar insolation due to persistent cloud cover. The 99.7% market-implied probability captures traders' confidence in this data, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessment of low variability. Upside risks to 15°C or higher remain slim but possible via prolonged clearing or southerly wind shifts; KMA hourly updates through evening will finalize resolution based on Gimpo Airport measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$355,022Enddatum
1. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts and real-time observations lock in a Seoul daytime high of 14°C on April 1, with morning lows near 9°C at official stations amid mostly cloudy conditions and light onshore winds from a mild upper-air trough. This aligns with early April climatology—averaging 14°C highs under transitioning ENSO-neutral patterns post-La Niña—supported by consensus across ECMWF and GFS models showing limited solar insolation due to persistent cloud cover. The 99.7% market-implied probability captures traders' confidence in this data, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessment of low variability. Upside risks to 15°C or higher remain slim but possible via prolonged clearing or southerly wind shifts; KMA hourly updates through evening will finalize resolution based on Gimpo Airport measurements.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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