Korea Meteorological Administration short-term forecasts project a maximum temperature of 14°C at Incheon International Airport station—the official resolution source for Seoul's highest reading on April 1—driving near-unanimous trader consensus at 99.9% market-implied probability. This aligns with ECMWF and GFS ensemble model agreement for 13–15°C peaks under mostly cloudy skies, onshore flow, and a mild upper-air trough suppressing stronger heating, consistent with early April climatology averaging 14°C amid fading La Niña toward ENSO-neutral conditions. Morning lows near 9°C further support capped daytime highs. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing for enhanced solar insolation or southerly warm advection pushing toward 15–16°C during afternoon peak heating (around 2–4 PM KST), with hourly KMA updates monitoring shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Seoul on April 1?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 1?
14°C 99.8%
15°C <1%
16°C or higher <1%
$394,270 Vol.
$394,270 Vol.
1. Apr. 2026
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
14°C 99.8%
15°C <1%
16°C or higher <1%
$394,270 Vol.
$394,270 Vol.
1. Apr. 2026
14°C
$52,602 Vol.
100%
15°C
$36,115 Vol.
<1%
16°C or higher
$54,633 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration short-term forecasts project a maximum temperature of 14°C at Incheon International Airport station—the official resolution source for Seoul's highest reading on April 1—driving near-unanimous trader consensus at 99.9% market-implied probability. This aligns with ECMWF and GFS ensemble model agreement for 13–15°C peaks under mostly cloudy skies, onshore flow, and a mild upper-air trough suppressing stronger heating, consistent with early April climatology averaging 14°C amid fading La Niña toward ENSO-neutral conditions. Morning lows near 9°C further support capped daytime highs. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing for enhanced solar insolation or southerly warm advection pushing toward 15–16°C during afternoon peak heating (around 2–4 PM KST), with hourly KMA updates monitoring shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ET
Volumen
$394,270Enddatum
1. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration short-term forecasts project a maximum temperature of 14°C at Incheon International Airport station—the official resolution source for Seoul's highest reading on April 1—driving near-unanimous trader consensus at 99.9% market-implied probability. This aligns with ECMWF and GFS ensemble model agreement for 13–15°C peaks under mostly cloudy skies, onshore flow, and a mild upper-air trough suppressing stronger heating, consistent with early April climatology averaging 14°C amid fading La Niña toward ENSO-neutral conditions. Morning lows near 9°C further support capped daytime highs. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing for enhanced solar insolation or southerly warm advection pushing toward 15–16°C during afternoon peak heating (around 2–4 PM KST), with hourly KMA updates monitoring shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$394,270Enddatum
1. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration short-term forecasts project a maximum temperature of 14°C at Incheon International Airport station—the official resolution source for Seoul's highest reading on April 1—driving near-unanimous trader consensus at 99.9% market-implied probability. This aligns with ECMWF and GFS ensemble model agreement for 13–15°C peaks under mostly cloudy skies, onshore flow, and a mild upper-air trough suppressing stronger heating, consistent with early April climatology averaging 14°C amid fading La Niña toward ENSO-neutral conditions. Morning lows near 9°C further support capped daytime highs. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing for enhanced solar insolation or southerly warm advection pushing toward 15–16°C during afternoon peak heating (around 2–4 PM KST), with hourly KMA updates monitoring shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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