Ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models show Mexico City highs on April 8 clustering around 24-26°C at Benito Juárez International Airport, driving the tight market-implied probabilities across these outcomes due to uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover and convective activity. Recent observations reflect this variability, with airport highs reaching 27°C on April 4 under clearer skies but dropping to 23°C on April 1 amid scattered showers from passing moisture. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city's dry-season baseline favors upper-20s Celsius, yet lingering Gulf moisture and weak frontal remnants introduce divergence among models. Traders await SMN-CONAGUA updates and fresh 00Z runs for clarification before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Mexico City on April 8?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 8?
24°C 32%
25°C 32%
26°C or higher 29%
22°C 18%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
4%
18°C
2%
19°C
5%
20°C
5%
21°C
16%
22°C
18%
23°C
11%
24°C
25%
25°C
27%
26°C or higher
29%
24°C 32%
25°C 32%
26°C or higher 29%
22°C 18%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
4%
18°C
2%
19°C
5%
20°C
5%
21°C
16%
22°C
18%
23°C
11%
24°C
25%
25°C
27%
26°C or higher
29%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 4, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models show Mexico City highs on April 8 clustering around 24-26°C at Benito Juárez International Airport, driving the tight market-implied probabilities across these outcomes due to uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover and convective activity. Recent observations reflect this variability, with airport highs reaching 27°C on April 4 under clearer skies but dropping to 23°C on April 1 amid scattered showers from passing moisture. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city's dry-season baseline favors upper-20s Celsius, yet lingering Gulf moisture and weak frontal remnants introduce divergence among models. Traders await SMN-CONAGUA updates and fresh 00Z runs for clarification before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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