Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 14°C (61% implied probability) in London today, driven by the UK Met Office's latest short-range forecast models showing peak daytime highs clustered around 13-15°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate northwest winds around 10-15 mph. This positioning reflects observational data from Heathrow Airport over the past 24 hours, where yesterday's maximum reached only 12°C amid lingering cool air masses, with overnight lows near 7°C enabling a standard diurnal rise without strong solar heating or warm advection. Early April climatology supports this, with long-term averages of 13-15°C for central London sites, per Met Office records; ensemble models exhibit low spread, though minor shifts in cloud cover could nudge toward 15°C. Hourly updates expected through afternoon as the market nears resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in London on April 1?
Highest temperature in London on April 1?
14°C 62%
15°C 31%
13°C 7%
16°C 3.5%
$160,685 Vol.
$160,685 Vol.
1. Apr. 2026
12°C
1%
13°C
7%
14°C
62%
15°C
31%
16°C
3%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
14°C 62%
15°C 31%
13°C 7%
16°C 3.5%
$160,685 Vol.
$160,685 Vol.
1. Apr. 2026
12°C
$13,496 Vol.
1%
13°C
$17,259 Vol.
7%
14°C
$16,844 Vol.
62%
15°C
$13,634 Vol.
31%
16°C
$16,888 Vol.
3%
17°C
$13,400 Vol.
1%
18°C
$9,207 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$12,488 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$15,133 Vol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$21,325 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 14°C (61% implied probability) in London today, driven by the UK Met Office's latest short-range forecast models showing peak daytime highs clustered around 13-15°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate northwest winds around 10-15 mph. This positioning reflects observational data from Heathrow Airport over the past 24 hours, where yesterday's maximum reached only 12°C amid lingering cool air masses, with overnight lows near 7°C enabling a standard diurnal rise without strong solar heating or warm advection. Early April climatology supports this, with long-term averages of 13-15°C for central London sites, per Met Office records; ensemble models exhibit low spread, though minor shifts in cloud cover could nudge toward 15°C. Hourly updates expected through afternoon as the market nears resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 29, 2026, 3:40 PM ET
Volumen
$160,685Enddatum
1. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 29, 2026, 3:40 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 14°C (61% implied probability) in London today, driven by the UK Met Office's latest short-range forecast models showing peak daytime highs clustered around 13-15°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate northwest winds around 10-15 mph. This positioning reflects observational data from Heathrow Airport over the past 24 hours, where yesterday's maximum reached only 12°C amid lingering cool air masses, with overnight lows near 7°C enabling a standard diurnal rise without strong solar heating or warm advection. Early April climatology supports this, with long-term averages of 13-15°C for central London sites, per Met Office records; ensemble models exhibit low spread, though minor shifts in cloud cover could nudge toward 15°C. Hourly updates expected through afternoon as the market nears resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$160,685Enddatum
1. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 29, 2026, 3:40 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 14°C (61% implied probability) in London today, driven by the UK Met Office's latest short-range forecast models showing peak daytime highs clustered around 13-15°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate northwest winds around 10-15 mph. This positioning reflects observational data from Heathrow Airport over the past 24 hours, where yesterday's maximum reached only 12°C amid lingering cool air masses, with overnight lows near 7°C enabling a standard diurnal rise without strong solar heating or warm advection. Early April climatology supports this, with long-term averages of 13-15°C for central London sites, per Met Office records; ensemble models exhibit low spread, though minor shifts in cloud cover could nudge toward 15°C. Hourly updates expected through afternoon as the market nears resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen