Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at Aeroparque Jorge Newbery—the market's authoritative resolution source—recorded a maximum temperature of 30°C in Buenos Aires on March 30, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome. This aligns precisely with pre-event SMN forecasts projecting a midday peak near 30.1°C following morning thunderstorms that cleared, enabling solar insolation amid high humidity and mild southerly winds. Global models like ECMWF and GFS showed strong agreement on subdued heating capped below 31°C due to lingering cloud cover. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post hoc data revisions or discrepancies from secondary stations like Ezeiza, though SMN's standardized measurements render such shifts improbable.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Buenos Aires am 30. März?
Höchste Temperatur in Buenos Aires am 30. März?
30°C 100.0%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$96,368 Vol.
$96,368 Vol.
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C oder höher
<1%
30°C 100.0%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$96,368 Vol.
$96,368 Vol.
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 29, 2026, 2:09 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at Aeroparque Jorge Newbery—the market's authoritative resolution source—recorded a maximum temperature of 30°C in Buenos Aires on March 30, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome. This aligns precisely with pre-event SMN forecasts projecting a midday peak near 30.1°C following morning thunderstorms that cleared, enabling solar insolation amid high humidity and mild southerly winds. Global models like ECMWF and GFS showed strong agreement on subdued heating capped below 31°C due to lingering cloud cover. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post hoc data revisions or discrepancies from secondary stations like Ezeiza, though SMN's standardized measurements render such shifts improbable.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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