State Rep. Manny Rutinel leads trader consensus at 80% implied probability to win Colorado's 8th Congressional District Democratic primary on June 30, driven by his fundraising dominance, state House incumbency, and momentum in a district rated Toss Up overall against Republican incumbent Gabe Evans. A late-April Normington Petts poll, commissioned by rival Shannon Bird's campaign, showed a razor-thin contest (Bird 25%, Rutinel 24%, Evan Munsing 6%), but traders discount the internal as biased, favoring Rutinel amid Bird's scrutiny over past "no" votes on Democratic priorities like immigration bills. Former Rep. Yadira Caraveo's September 2025 withdrawal due to personal controversies has kept her at 1.4%, with minor candidates trailing amid evenly split voter registration.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertManny Rutinel 82%
Shannon Bird 19%
Yadira Caraveo 1.3%
Dave Young <1%
$20,125 Vol.
$20,125 Vol.
Manny Rutinel
82%
Shannon Bird
19%
Yadira Caraveo
1%
Dave Young
1%
John Szemler
<1%
Amie Baca-Oehlert
<1%
Manny Rutinel 82%
Shannon Bird 19%
Yadira Caraveo 1.3%
Dave Young <1%
$20,125 Vol.
$20,125 Vol.
Manny Rutinel
82%
Shannon Bird
19%
Yadira Caraveo
1%
Dave Young
1%
John Szemler
<1%
Amie Baca-Oehlert
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 25, 2025, 4:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...State Rep. Manny Rutinel leads trader consensus at 80% implied probability to win Colorado's 8th Congressional District Democratic primary on June 30, driven by his fundraising dominance, state House incumbency, and momentum in a district rated Toss Up overall against Republican incumbent Gabe Evans. A late-April Normington Petts poll, commissioned by rival Shannon Bird's campaign, showed a razor-thin contest (Bird 25%, Rutinel 24%, Evan Munsing 6%), but traders discount the internal as biased, favoring Rutinel amid Bird's scrutiny over past "no" votes on Democratic priorities like immigration bills. Former Rep. Yadira Caraveo's September 2025 withdrawal due to personal controversies has kept her at 1.4%, with minor candidates trailing amid evenly split voter registration.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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