Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 65% implied probability to Amazon (AMZN) closing above $185 on March 24, propelled by the stock's 8% surge last week amid strong AWS cloud revenue growth reported in Q4 filings and optimism around AI infrastructure spending. AMZN trades at $182.50 intraday, just 1.4% shy of the threshold, with heightened volatility tied to broader tech sector momentum from Nvidia's rally. Key risks include Friday's PCE inflation data release, which could sway Fed rate cut expectations and pressure growth stocks if hotter-than-expected. Historical March patterns show AMZN averaging 2.5% weekly gains, but resolution hinges on close above $185 at 4 PM ET on the 22nd, as markets skip the weekend.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert195 $
96%
200 $
93%
205 $
87%
210 $
53%
$215
18%
$208 Vol.
195 $
96%
200 $
93%
205 $
87%
210 $
53%
$215
18%
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Markt eröffnet: Mar 23, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 65% implied probability to Amazon (AMZN) closing above $185 on March 24, propelled by the stock's 8% surge last week amid strong AWS cloud revenue growth reported in Q4 filings and optimism around AI infrastructure spending. AMZN trades at $182.50 intraday, just 1.4% shy of the threshold, with heightened volatility tied to broader tech sector momentum from Nvidia's rally. Key risks include Friday's PCE inflation data release, which could sway Fed rate cut expectations and pressure growth stocks if hotter-than-expected. Historical March patterns show AMZN averaging 2.5% weekly gains, but resolution hinges on close above $185 at 4 PM ET on the 22nd, as markets skip the weekend.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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