perfectnostalgia

Beigetreten März 2024·5.9K Aufrufe

a humble forecaster with much to be humble about

$32.9K

Positionen Wert

$13.9K

Größter Gewinn

868

Gehandelte Märkte

Gesamt-PnL: +$180.5K
Gesamtvolumen: 4M

Gewinn/Verlust

$790.24

Letzter Tag

Markt

Durchschnitt

Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?

No 69.3¢

8,179.6 Anteile

69.3¢

90.5¢

$7,402.52$1,737.70 (30.68%)

Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?

No 69.3¢

8,179.6 Anteile

$7,402.52$1,737.70 (30.68%)

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?

Yes 85¢

5,000.0 Anteile

85¢

85.5¢

$4,275.00$25.00 (0.59%)

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?

Yes 85¢

5,000.0 Anteile

$4,275.00$25.00 (0.59%)

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 44.1¢

8,523.9 Anteile

44.1¢

46.4¢

$3,950.81$193.93 (5.16%)

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 44.1¢

8,523.9 Anteile

$3,950.81$193.93 (5.16%)

Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 0.3¢

49,108.8 Anteile

0.3¢

7.1¢

$3,511.28$3,351.29 (2,094.73%)

Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 0.3¢

49,108.8 Anteile

$3,511.28$3,351.29 (2,094.73%)

Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?

Yes 84.9¢

3,457.4 Anteile

84.9¢

91.5¢

$3,163.56$227.75 (7.76%)

Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?

Yes 84.9¢

3,457.4 Anteile

$3,163.56$227.75 (7.76%)

Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?

No 76¢

3,200.0 Anteile

76¢

96.9¢

$3,099.20$667.20 (27.43%)

Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?

No 76¢

3,200.0 Anteile

$3,099.20$667.20 (27.43%)

Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026?

Yes 60.5¢

2,889.7 Anteile

60.5¢

69.7¢

$2,012.68$264.06 (15.1%)

Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026?

Yes 60.5¢

2,889.7 Anteile

$2,012.68$264.06 (15.1%)

Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?

Yes 23¢

1,492.6 Anteile

23¢

84.5¢

$1,261.24$917.21 (266.61%)

Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?

Yes 23¢

1,492.6 Anteile

$1,261.24$917.21 (266.61%)

Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?

Yes 25.4¢

2,996.2 Anteile

25.4¢

31.5¢

$943.79$184.22 (24.25%)

Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?

Yes 25.4¢

2,996.2 Anteile

$943.79$184.22 (24.25%)

ECB rate cut in 2026?

No 88¢

906.2 Anteile

88¢

97.5¢

$883.55$86.09 (10.8%)

ECB rate cut in 2026?

No 88¢

906.2 Anteile

$883.55$86.09 (10.8%)

Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?

No 67.3¢

704.7 Anteile

67.3¢

95.5¢

$673.00$198.53 (41.84%)

Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?

No 67.3¢

704.7 Anteile

$673.00$198.53 (41.84%)

Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?

Yes 20.2¢

4,585.9 Anteile

20.2¢

10.5¢

$479.23-$445.52 (-48.18%)

Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?

Yes 20.2¢

4,585.9 Anteile

$479.23-$445.52 (-48.18%)

Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.0% and 3.4%?

No 77.6¢

489.0 Anteile

77.6¢

82.5¢

$403.43$23.71 (6.24%)

Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.0% and 3.4%?

No 77.6¢

489.0 Anteile

$403.43$23.71 (6.24%)

Will UK annual inflation be between 3.7% and 3.9% in October?

Yes 52.7¢

360.1 Anteile

52.7¢

69¢

$248.46$58.72 (30.94%)

Will UK annual inflation be between 3.7% and 3.9% in October?

Yes 52.7¢

360.1 Anteile

$248.46$58.72 (30.94%)

Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 2.7¢

11,500.0 Anteile

2.7¢

1.7¢

$189.75-$116.52 (-38.05%)

Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 2.7¢

11,500.0 Anteile

$189.75-$116.52 (-38.05%)

Will Klaas Knot be the next President of the European Central Bank?

Yes 30.2¢

289.2 Anteile

30.2¢

39.5¢

$114.23$26.77 (30.61%)

Will Klaas Knot be the next President of the European Central Bank?

Yes 30.2¢

289.2 Anteile

$114.23$26.77 (30.61%)

Will Pablo Hernández de Cos be the next President of the European Central Bank?

Yes 40¢

160.0 Anteile

40¢

60¢

$96.00$32.00 (50%)

Will Pablo Hernández de Cos be the next President of the European Central Bank?

Yes 40¢

160.0 Anteile

$96.00$32.00 (50%)

Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be at least 4.5%?

No 67¢

78.5 Anteile

67¢

98.3¢

$77.19$24.58 (46.72%)

Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be at least 4.5%?

No 67¢

78.5 Anteile

$77.19$24.58 (46.72%)

Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?

Yes 9¢

52.0 Anteile

9¢

95.6¢

$49.70$45.02 (962.23%)

Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?

Yes 9¢

52.0 Anteile

$49.70$45.02 (962.23%)

Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 0.7¢

19,460.2 Anteile

0.7¢

0.2¢

$29.19-$106.95 (-78.56%)

Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 0.7¢

19,460.2 Anteile

$29.19-$106.95 (-78.56%)