parameter1

Joined Oct 2025·73 views

$4,538.58

Positions Value

$233.32

Biggest Win

1,571

Markets Traded

Total PnL: +$1,511.50
Total Volume: 81.6K

Profit/Loss

-$24.28

Past Day

Market

Avg

Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Yes 21.6¢

289.0 shares

21.6¢

69.5¢

$200.83$138.42 (221.8%)

Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Yes 21.6¢

289.0 shares

$200.83$138.42 (221.8%)

Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?

No 73.6¢

190.3 shares

73.6¢

96.3¢

$183.27$43.27 (30.91%)

Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?

No 73.6¢

190.3 shares

$183.27$43.27 (30.91%)

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?

No 15¢

224.8 shares

15¢

68.9¢

$154.80$121.02 (358.25%)

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?

No 15¢

224.8 shares

$154.80$121.02 (358.25%)

Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?

No 90.4¢

154.8 shares

90.4¢

97.2¢

$150.51$10.51 (7.51%)

Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?

No 90.4¢

154.8 shares

$150.51$10.51 (7.51%)

Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?

Yes 62.4¢

217.4 shares

62.4¢

69¢

$149.90$14.18 (10.45%)

Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?

Yes 62.4¢

217.4 shares

$149.90$14.18 (10.45%)

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?

No 69.7¢

170.9 shares

69.7¢

85.5¢

$146.12$26.92 (22.58%)

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?

No 69.7¢

170.9 shares

$146.12$26.92 (22.58%)

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

Yes 40.9¢

169.7 shares

40.9¢

69.3¢

$117.54$48.10 (69.26%)

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

Yes 40.9¢

169.7 shares

$117.54$48.10 (69.26%)

Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?

No 83.9¢

131.1 shares

83.9¢

87.5¢

$114.72$4.72 (4.29%)

Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?

No 83.9¢

131.1 shares

$114.72$4.72 (4.29%)

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?

Yes 65.2¢

150.0 shares

65.2¢

70.9¢

$106.26$8.51 (8.7%)

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?

Yes 65.2¢

150.0 shares

$106.26$8.51 (8.7%)

Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?

No 91¢

109.9 shares

91¢

94.5¢

$103.85$3.85 (3.85%)

Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?

No 91¢

109.9 shares

$103.85$3.85 (3.85%)

Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?

No 84¢

95.2 shares

84¢

97¢

$92.38$12.38 (15.48%)

Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?

No 84¢

95.2 shares

$92.38$12.38 (15.48%)

Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?

No 85¢

100.0 shares

85¢

91.5¢

$91.49$6.50 (7.65%)

Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?

No 85¢

100.0 shares

$91.49$6.50 (7.65%)

Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?

Yes 90.6¢

91.4 shares

90.6¢

98.1¢

$89.64$6.84 (8.27%)

Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?

Yes 90.6¢

91.4 shares

$89.64$6.84 (8.27%)

Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?

Yes 87¢

91.9 shares

87¢

91¢

$83.66$3.66 (4.57%)

Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?

Yes 87¢

91.9 shares

$83.66$3.66 (4.57%)

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?

Yes 83.2¢

81.7 shares

83.2¢

96.2¢

$78.58$10.58 (15.56%)

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?

Yes 83.2¢

81.7 shares

$78.58$10.58 (15.56%)

Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

No 90.2¢

82.6 shares

90.2¢

92.5¢

$76.40$1.91 (2.57%)

Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

No 90.2¢

82.6 shares

$76.40$1.91 (2.57%)

Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?

No 87¢

84.9 shares

87¢

89.1¢

$75.64$1.74 (2.36%)

Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?

No 87¢

84.9 shares

$75.64$1.74 (2.36%)

Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

No 79.6¢

93.2 shares

79.6¢

81¢

$75.53$1.32 (1.78%)

Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

No 79.6¢

93.2 shares

$75.53$1.32 (1.78%)

Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $40 by June 30, 2027?

Yes 70.7¢

95.5 shares

70.7¢

78¢

$74.50$7.00 (10.37%)

Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $40 by June 30, 2027?

Yes 70.7¢

95.5 shares

$74.50$7.00 (10.37%)

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

No 79.5¢

75.5 shares

79.5¢

96.3¢

$72.65$12.65 (21.08%)

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

No 79.5¢

75.5 shares

$72.65$12.65 (21.08%)