FactMechanic
Joined Jan 2026·406 views
betmoar-90579
$956.22
Positions Value
$346.50
Biggest Win
1,355
Predictions
Profit/Loss
Past Day
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes 82¢
400.0 shares82¢
85.5¢
$341.80$13.80 (4.21%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes 82¢
400.0 shares$341.80$13.80 (4.21%)
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
No 73¢
200.0 shares73¢
78.5¢
$157.00$11.00 (7.53%)
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
No 73¢
200.0 shares$157.00$11.00 (7.53%)
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?
Yes 90.5¢
140.5 shares$134.49$7.31 (5.75%)
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?
Yes 94¢
100.0 shares94¢
90.6¢
$90.60-$3.40 (-3.62%)
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?
Yes 94¢
100.0 shares$90.60-$3.40 (-3.62%)
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?
No 93.8¢
50.0 shares$48.43$1.52 (3.25%)
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?
Yes 93¢
50.1 shares93¢
92.5¢
$46.38-$0.25 (-0.54%)
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?
Yes 93¢
50.1 shares$46.38-$0.25 (-0.54%)
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Yes 83.1¢
50.0 shares83.1¢
73.7¢
$36.83-$4.72 (-11.37%)
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Yes 83.1¢
50.0 shares$36.83-$4.72 (-11.37%)
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Yes 61¢
50.0 shares$34.00$3.50 (11.48%)
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
No 85.7¢
40.0 shares$32.88-$1.40 (-4.08%)
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Yes 61¢
50.0 shares61¢
62.5¢
$31.25$0.75 (2.46%)
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Yes 61¢
50.0 shares$31.25$0.75 (2.46%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Over 99.9¢
5.0 shares$2.57-$2.42 (-48.5%)