DancewithRisk

Joined Jun 2025·246 views

all in

$14.6K

Positions Value

$3,306.30

Biggest Win

265

Predictions

Profit/Loss

-$327.06

Past Day

Current

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?

Yes 38.4¢

5,840.8 shares

38.4¢

48¢

$2,803.61$563.38 (25.15%)

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?

Yes 38.4¢

5,840.8 shares

$2,803.61$563.38 (25.15%)

Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?

Yes 43.9¢

4,179.2 shares

43.9¢

62.5¢

$2,612.00$778.20 (42.44%)

Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?

Yes 43.9¢

4,179.2 shares

$2,612.00$778.20 (42.44%)

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?

Yes 47.3¢

1,343.5 shares

47.3¢

61¢

$819.52$183.35 (28.82%)

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?

Yes 47.3¢

1,343.5 shares

$819.52$183.35 (28.82%)

Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

Yes 15.5¢

6,605.5 shares

15.5¢

10¢

$657.25-$366.46 (-35.8%)

Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

Yes 15.5¢

6,605.5 shares

$657.25-$366.46 (-35.8%)

Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?

Yes 16¢

3,305.6 shares

16¢

19.8¢

$654.51$126.41 (23.94%)

Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?

Yes 16¢

3,305.6 shares

$654.51$126.41 (23.94%)

Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?

Yes 14.9¢

3,191.7 shares

14.9¢

19¢

$606.43$131.04 (27.56%)

Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?

Yes 14.9¢

3,191.7 shares

$606.43$131.04 (27.56%)

Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?

No 56¢

1,050.5 shares

56¢

53.5¢

$562.00-$26.26 (-4.46%)

Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?

No 56¢

1,050.5 shares

$562.00-$26.26 (-4.46%)

Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T?

Yes 15.9¢

2,480.5 shares

15.9¢

20.5¢

$509.74$116.50 (29.63%)

Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T?

Yes 15.9¢

2,480.5 shares

$509.74$116.50 (29.63%)

Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026?

No 77.6¢

529.5 shares

77.6¢

93¢

$492.47$81.65 (19.88%)

Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026?

No 77.6¢

529.5 shares

$492.47$81.65 (19.88%)

Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Yes 61¢

799.0 shares

61¢

58.5¢

$467.42-$19.97 (-4.1%)

Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Yes 61¢

799.0 shares

$467.42-$19.97 (-4.1%)

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?

No 83.5¢

466.0 shares

83.5¢

87.9¢

$409.85$20.91 (5.38%)

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?

No 83.5¢

466.0 shares

$409.85$20.91 (5.38%)

Will the median home value in the US be less than $419,000 on September 30?

No 62¢

904.6 shares

62¢

43¢

$388.97-$171.55 (-30.61%)

Will the median home value in the US be less than $419,000 on September 30?

No 62¢

904.6 shares

$388.97-$171.55 (-30.61%)

Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.5T?

Yes 19.7¢

1,500.0 shares

19.7¢

21.9¢

$328.50$32.88 (11.12%)

Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.5T?

Yes 19.7¢

1,500.0 shares

$328.50$32.88 (11.12%)

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

Yes 18.1¢

1,790.0 shares

18.1¢

16¢

$286.39-$37.24 (-11.51%)

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

Yes 18.1¢

1,790.0 shares

$286.39-$37.24 (-11.51%)

Will Jerry Moran vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?

Yes 46.1¢

1,610.1 shares

46.1¢

13.5¢

$217.36-$525.64 (-70.75%)

Will Jerry Moran vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?

Yes 46.1¢

1,610.1 shares

$217.36-$525.64 (-70.75%)

Will Shein's closing IPO market cap be at least 250B HKD?

Yes 36.3¢

889.4 shares

36.3¢

23¢

$204.57-$118.17 (-36.61%)

Will Shein's closing IPO market cap be at least 250B HKD?

Yes 36.3¢

889.4 shares

$204.57-$118.17 (-36.61%)

Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.0T and $1.25T?

Yes 20.4¢

1,700.8 shares

20.4¢

12¢

$204.10-$143.13 (-41.22%)

Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.0T and $1.25T?

Yes 20.4¢

1,700.8 shares

$204.10-$143.13 (-41.22%)

Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?

Yes 33.5¢

772.6 shares

33.5¢

25¢

$193.15-$65.33 (-25.27%)

Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?

Yes 33.5¢

772.6 shares

$193.15-$65.33 (-25.27%)

Will Thom Tillis vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?

Yes 23.2¢

643.3 shares

23.2¢

28¢

$180.12$30.58 (20.45%)

Will Thom Tillis vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?

Yes 23.2¢

643.3 shares

$180.12$30.58 (20.45%)

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?

Yes 19¢

765.3 shares

19¢

21.5¢

$164.55$19.13 (13.16%)

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?

Yes 19¢

765.3 shares

$164.55$19.13 (13.16%)