cryptedgor

Joined Jan 2026·3 views

$68.25

Positions Value

$39.50

Biggest Win

Predictions

Profit/Loss

$2.04

Past Day

Current

Will any AI model reach 1540 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?

No 79¢

29.5 shares

79¢

78¢

$23.04-$0.30 (-1.27%)

Will any AI model reach 1540 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?

No 79¢

29.5 shares

$23.04-$0.30 (-1.27%)

Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?

No 74¢

20.0 shares

74¢

80.5¢

$16.10$1.30 (8.78%)

Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?

No 74¢

20.0 shares

$16.10$1.30 (8.78%)

Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?

Yes 50¢

20.0 shares

50¢

30¢

$6.00-$4.00 (-40%)

Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?

Yes 50¢

20.0 shares

$6.00-$4.00 (-40%)

Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?

No 18¢

10.0 shares

18¢

51¢

$5.10$3.30 (183.33%)

Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?

No 18¢

10.0 shares

$5.10$3.30 (183.33%)

Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?

No 10.1¢

30.0 shares

10.1¢

15.1¢

$4.53$1.50 (49.5%)

Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?

No 10.1¢

30.0 shares

$4.53$1.50 (49.5%)

Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 0.2¢

600.0 shares

0.2¢

0.7¢

$3.90$2.70 (225%)

Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 0.2¢

600.0 shares

$3.90$2.70 (225%)

Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?

No 28¢

10.0 shares

28¢

28.5¢

$2.85$0.05 (1.74%)

Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?

No 28¢

10.0 shares

$2.85$0.05 (1.74%)

Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?

Yes 9.9¢

11.0 shares

9.9¢

9.6¢

$1.05-$0.04 (-3.53%)

Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?

Yes 9.9¢

11.0 shares

$1.05-$0.04 (-3.53%)

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 22¢

5.0 shares

22¢

21¢

$1.05-$0.05 (-4.55%)

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 22¢

5.0 shares

$1.05-$0.05 (-4.55%)

Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?

Yes 17¢

10.0 shares

17¢

10.5¢

$1.05-$0.65 (-38.24%)

Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?

Yes 17¢

10.0 shares

$1.05-$0.65 (-38.24%)

Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 0.7¢

150.0 shares

0.7¢

$0.98-$0.08 (-7.14%)

Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 0.7¢

150.0 shares

$0.98-$0.08 (-7.14%)

Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 1¢

100.0 shares

1¢

0.9¢

$0.85-$0.15 (-15%)

Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 1¢

100.0 shares

$0.85-$0.15 (-15%)

Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?

No 10¢

20.0 shares

10¢

3.7¢

$0.73-$1.27 (-63.5%)

Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?

No 10¢

20.0 shares

$0.73-$1.27 (-63.5%)

Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Yes 20¢

10.0 shares

20¢

6.5¢

$0.65-$1.35 (-67.5%)

Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Yes 20¢

10.0 shares

$0.65-$1.35 (-67.5%)

Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?

No 7¢

15.0 shares

7¢

2.5¢

$0.37-$0.67 (-64.28%)

Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?

No 7¢

15.0 shares

$0.37-$0.67 (-64.28%)