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balthazar

Joined Jan 2025·22.5K views

gg

$128.9K

Positions Value

$80.6K

Biggest Win

47,686

Predictions

Profit/Loss

$21,777.10
Polymarket

Past Day

Portfolio Profit/Loss Chart
icon for Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 73.2¢
9,021.9 shares
$7,109.26$505.61 (7.66%)

Will Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?

Yes 15.8¢
3,618.8 shares
$3,555.47$2,983.48 (521.6%)
icon for Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?

Yes 38.6¢
2,887.6 shares
$2,811.10$1,696.64 (152.24%)
icon for Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

No 90.8¢
2,497.4 shares
$2,260.18-$7.48 (-0.33%)
icon for US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?

US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?

Yes 81.8¢
2,092.7 shares
$2,091.61$379.64 (22.18%)
icon for Iran leadership change by December 31?

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Yes 24.3¢
9,319.7 shares
$2,003.75-$263.00 (-11.6%)
icon for Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?

No 95.2¢
2,046.3 shares
$1,953.24$4.91 (0.25%)
icon for Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?

Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?

No 87.5¢
1,960.0 shares
$1,937.45$223.15 (13.02%)
icon for Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?

No 90.5¢
1,978.6 shares
$1,932.15$140.93 (7.87%)
icon for Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?

Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 3.8¢
1,914.5 shares
$1,890.52$1,816.89 (2,467.54%)
icon for Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Yes 39.2¢
2,012.1 shares
$1,639.64$851.68 (108.09%)
icon for Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 29?

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 29?

Yes 9.1¢
2,387.0 shares
$1,635.10$1,418.10 (653.5%)

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?

No 47.9¢
2,191.9 shares
$1,500.36$450.74 (42.94%)
icon for Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Yes 57¢
1,746.3 shares
$1,490.51$495.88 (49.86%)
icon for Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?

No 74.4¢
1,655.4 shares
$1,489.83$257.81 (20.93%)
icon for Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Yes 3¢
1,300.0 shares
$1,229.80$1,190.41 (3,021.8%)
icon for Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?

No 94.1¢
1,000.0 shares
$996.50$55.50 (5.9%)
icon for Will 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?

Will 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?

No 97.1¢
1,000.0 shares
$996.50$25.50 (2.63%)

Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?

Yes 5.3¢
1,267.4 shares
$994.91$928.20 (1,391.52%)
icon for Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Yes 1.1¢
2,099.7 shares
$962.70$939.11 (3,981%)