orin40

Joined Dec 2025·60 views

$321.16

Positions Value

$189.04

Biggest Win

8,219

Markets Traded

Total PnL: +$1,124.47
Total Volume: 7.3M

Profit/Loss

-$13.95

Past Day

Market

Avg

Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?

Yes 5.3¢

100.0 shares

5.3¢

62.6¢

$62.60$57.30 (1,081.13%)

Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?

Yes 5.3¢

100.0 shares

$62.60$57.30 (1,081.13%)

Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Yes 1.9¢

57.0 shares

1.9¢

83.6¢

$47.62$46.54 (4,297.37%)

Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Yes 1.9¢

57.0 shares

$47.62$46.54 (4,297.37%)

Will Trump deport 400-500k people?

Yes 10¢

86.0 shares

10¢

51.5¢

$44.29$35.69 (415%)

Will Trump deport 400-500k people?

Yes 10¢

86.0 shares

$44.29$35.69 (415%)

Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?

Yes 4.9¢

183.6 shares

4.9¢

10.4¢

$19.10$10.04 (110.94%)

Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?

Yes 4.9¢

183.6 shares

$19.10$10.04 (110.94%)

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 50?

No 4¢

24.0 shares

4¢

60.5¢

$14.49$13.54 (1,412.48%)

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 50?

No 4¢

24.0 shares

$14.49$13.54 (1,412.48%)

Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $2M before 2027?

Yes 10¢

87.9 shares

10¢

12.5¢

$10.98$2.20 (25%)

Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $2M before 2027?

Yes 10¢

87.9 shares

$10.98$2.20 (25%)

Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at >$8,000 in December?

Yes 5¢

24.7 shares

5¢

40.5¢

$9.99$8.76 (710%)

Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at >$8,000 in December?

Yes 5¢

24.7 shares

$9.99$8.76 (710%)

Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?

Yes 3.7¢

144.1 shares

3.7¢

6.4¢

$9.22$3.90 (73.28%)

Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?

Yes 3.7¢

144.1 shares

$9.22$3.90 (73.28%)

Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026?

Yes 0.6¢

142.7 shares

0.6¢

5.9¢

$8.49$7.57 (820.61%)

Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026?

Yes 0.6¢

142.7 shares

$8.49$7.57 (820.61%)

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Yes 9¢

100.0 shares

9¢

6.5¢

$6.50-$2.50 (-27.78%)

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Yes 9¢

100.0 shares

$6.50-$2.50 (-27.78%)

Will Magomed Ankalaev be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Yes 5¢

111.0 shares

5¢

5.5¢

$6.05$0.50 (9%)

Will Magomed Ankalaev be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Yes 5¢

111.0 shares

$6.05$0.50 (9%)

Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?

Yes 5¢

100.0 shares

5¢

6¢

$6.00$1.00 (20%)

Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?

Yes 5¢

100.0 shares

$6.00$1.00 (20%)

Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Yes 10¢

100.0 shares

10¢

5.5¢

$5.50-$4.50 (-45%)

Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Yes 10¢

100.0 shares

$5.50-$4.50 (-45%)

Will George Clooney announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Yes 10¢

100.0 shares

10¢

4.5¢

$4.50-$5.50 (-55%)

Will George Clooney announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Yes 10¢

100.0 shares

$4.50-$5.50 (-55%)

Will Carlos Prates be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Yes 5¢

109.3 shares

5¢

3.8¢

$4.15-$1.31 (-24%)

Will Carlos Prates be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Yes 5¢

109.3 shares

$4.15-$1.31 (-24%)

Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $30B and $40B at market close on IPO day?

Yes 3.3¢

85.3 shares

3.3¢

4.6¢

$3.92$1.11 (39.39%)

Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $30B and $40B at market close on IPO day?

Yes 3.3¢

85.3 shares

$3.92$1.11 (39.39%)

Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 40 Gwei before 2027?

Yes 5¢

37.4 shares

5¢

9.5¢

$3.55$1.68 (90%)

Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 40 Gwei before 2027?

Yes 5¢

37.4 shares

$3.55$1.68 (90%)

Will the Republican Party hold between 200 and 204 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Yes 9¢

35.6 shares

9¢

9.7¢

$3.44$0.23 (7.22%)

Will the Republican Party hold between 200 and 204 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Yes 9¢

35.6 shares

$3.44$0.23 (7.22%)

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Yes 10¢

100.0 shares

10¢

3.4¢

$3.40-$6.60 (-66%)

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Yes 10¢

100.0 shares

$3.40-$6.60 (-66%)

Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,500-$7,000 in December?

Yes 5¢

26.1 shares

5¢

12.5¢

$3.26$1.96 (149.99%)

Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,500-$7,000 in December?

Yes 5¢

26.1 shares

$3.26$1.96 (149.99%)