tetlock
$218.44
Positionen Wert
$16.10
Größter Gewinn
38
Prognosen
Gewinn/Verlust
Letzter Tag
47¢
65.5¢

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
50.2¢
62.5¢

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
56¢
66.5¢

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Israel closes its airspace by May 31?

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
61¢
58.5¢

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?
74.9¢
69¢

Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?

Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
6.6¢
6.9¢

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
4¢
4.1¢

Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
2.3¢
2.4¢

Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
3.3¢
3.3¢

Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
1.6¢
1.5¢

Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
0.6¢
0.5¢

Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

