Improved notification preferences and types.

notifications_v2

authenticated_book_ws

Improved in-game view for sports markets.

mobile_sports_overlay_v2

async_order_submission

Enable updates from the sports websocket.

sports_websocket

Show/hide language selector in navigation

language_selector

Auto-detect and redirect based on browser language

auto_locale_detection

Show BTC 15-minute up/down market in 3rd slot on homepage.

homepage_btc_15m_slot

signup_prompt

Show personalized Picked for You shelf on homepage

picked_for_you

Auto-redeem prompt for closed market positions

auto_redeem

Kill switch — when enabled, hides sponsor and cancel-sponsorship UI

disable_sponsor_markets

Route /search to the search ranking service

search_ranking

Route /search and navbar search to Shaped-backed /search-v3 (vs Typesense /search-v2).

search_v3

Enables the new contracts (PMCT) migration: post-migration modal, USDCe→pUSD wrap UI, new allowance reads/approvals, balance upgrade prompts, and the cancelled-orders portfolio tab.

enable_pmct_migration

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Will China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 3.5% and 4.0%?

Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2025?

Will Trump pardon himself in his first 100 days?

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?

New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? 

Will Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?

Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the February Meeting?

Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after February 2026 meeting?

Trump signs national abortion ban?

Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by January 31?

Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?

Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in November?

Will Grok be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?

Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% or more in November?

Will the Bank of Mexico announce an increase at the February meeting?

Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the January Meeting?

Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce a decrease at the January meeting?

Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in November?

Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?

Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by January 31?

Ukraine hits Moscow by January 15?

VassanaKlishta

Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Will Trump say "Hitler" during Georgia rally on October 28?

Elise Stefanik confirmed as UN ambassador?

Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration? 

Will Trump say "China" 5 or more times during New York rally on October 27?

Will Trump say "Pocahontas" during Pittsburgh rally on Nov 4?

Will Trump say "Elon" during Wisconsin rally on Nov 1?

动态

授权代币交易支出

部署智能合约钱包以启用交易

签署消息以生成您的 API 密钥

启用交易

资金已激活

你的账户需要迁移到新钱包才能继续交易。先部署新的存款钱包，然后把资金转过去。

升级你的账户

请先激活你的资金

迁移完成

钱包仍在部署中

转账未完成，请重试。

根据你的预测买“是”或“否”份额。赔率会随着其他交易者的交易实时变动。

1. 选一个预测盘口

1.逛逛我们的预测盘口

用加密货币、借记卡或银行转账给账号充值，然后就可以开始交易。

2.投注

随时卖掉你的“是”或“否”份额，或者等盘口封盘后，凭赢利的份额兑换 1 美元/份。注册账号，几分钟就能完成第一笔交易。

3.兑付

排行榜

你的会话需要重置才能进行交易。请退出登录然后重新登录。

连接问题

，并声明你 (i) 不是美国人；(ii) 不在美国、法国或其他受限管辖区；(iii) 未使用 VPN 或其他方式规避限制。如果你不遵守这些条款，Polymarket 保留将你的钱包设为仅限关仓模式的权利。

在 Polymarket 上交易

，证明你不是美国居民，且不位于美国或任何受限地区。

如需继续使用本网站的交易功能，请填写

需要自我认证

，包括如果你认为收到此消息是错误的。

由于可能违反我们的服务条款，你的账户已被设为仅限关仓模式。你可以关闭现有持仓，但无法开新仓。如需了解更多信息，请联系

交易已暂停

以下地区无法进行交易。禁止使用任何手段规避或试图规避这些限制。

仅查看模式

{count} 个订单

赢了之后，奖金自动到账。不需要手动操作。

自动兑换已关闭

自动兑换已开启

自动兑换失败

重新启用自动兑换

自动兑换奖金

立即收款

出了点问题

你可以平掉这些已结算的持仓，确认最终亏损金额。

亏损的预测盘口

兑换失败

此操作会合并所有符合条件的盘口持仓。

合并 ${amount} 持仓

您的奖金已准备就绪，继续交易吧！

我刚在 @Polymarket 赢了 ${amount}！

快来和我一起，把你的预判变成真金白银：

你的 Polymarket 钱包地址

我刚在 @Polymarket 上交易了。

来跟我对赌：

来看看我在 @Polymarket 上的盈亏吧。

来看看我在 @Polymarket 上的资料吧。

来看看 @Polymarket 上的这笔交易。

把 1 份“是”和 1 份“否”合并成 1 USDC。不想持仓时，这么做能省成本。

合并份额

订单簿

重大价格滑点

把 1 USDC 拆成 1 份“是”和 1  份“否”。这么做能省成本，方法是先都买了，再卖掉另一边就行

拆分份额

交易即表示你同意本使用条款，包括你不是 (i) 美国人且 (ii) 不在美国、法国或其他受限地区。

要开始使用升级后的系统进行交易,请在钱包中批准迁移。这是一次性操作。

完成迁移

你的 USDC.e 将按 1:1 比例转换为 pUSD。零手续费,涵盖所有仓位,可全额赎回。

余额迁移

你未成交的限价订单已作为升级的一部分被取消。未收取任何费用,所有资金已退回到你的余额中。

限价订单已取消

请登录你的账户,以便我们迁移余额并批准新合约。

请登录以继续

你的余额和仓位已迁移完成。一切就绪。

我们对底层做了一些调整,让交易更加稳定可靠。