Either Tate brother arrested by...?

Either Tate brother arrested by...?

46%

June 30

$729 交易量

$5.0K Liq.

3

Ends in 3 months

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

84%

December 31

$7M 交易量

$595K today

$361K Liq.

294

Ends in 6 days

Which countries will join the Board of Peace by March 31?

Which countries will join the Board of Peace by March 31?

3%

India

$2M 交易量

$163K today

$169K Liq.

129

Ends in 6 days

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

49%

Democrats Sweep

$4M 交易量

$94.2K today

$497K Liq.

133

Ends in 7 months

Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by...?

Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by...?

23%

March 31

$271K 交易量

$88.9K today

$8.1K Liq.

87

Ends in 6 days

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

83%

June 30

$643K 交易量

$86.5K today

$37.7K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Another US strike on Venezuela by...?

Another US strike on Venezuela by...?

23%

December 31

$3M 交易量

$77.1K today

$20.2K Liq.

59

US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

35%

$855K 交易量

$89.1K Liq.

48

Ends in 10 months

Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by...?

Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by...?

9%

April 30

$551K 交易量

$11.4K Liq.

11

Ends in about 1 month

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

50%

Pakistan

$32.6K 交易量

$128K Liq.

1

Ends in 3 months

US strike on Cuba by...?

US strike on Cuba by...?

34%

December 31

$3M 交易量

$101K Liq.

43

Ends in 9 months

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

97%

March 31

$220K 交易量

$19.3K Liq.

7

Ends in about 1 month

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

9%

$31M 交易量

$370K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 25?

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 25?

92%

Up

$18.8K 交易量

$8.6K Liq.

Ends in about 11 hours

Will Russia enter Lyman by April 30?

Will Russia enter Lyman by April 30?

83%

$17.5K 交易量

$79.0K Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?

14%

April 10

$15.5K 交易量

$22.5K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 25?

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 25?

83%

Up

$9.8K 交易量

$9.3K Liq.

Ends in about 11 hours

US strike on Mexico by...?

US strike on Mexico by...?

20%

December 31

$3M 交易量

$102K Liq.

161

Ends in 9 months

NY-26 House Election Winner

NY-26 House Election Winner

92%

Democratic Party

$12.5K 交易量

$39.8K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

1%

$3M 交易量

$74.6K Liq.

78

Ends in 3 months

常见问题

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场,你可以通过交易与突发新闻、政治、体育、选举、加密货币、金融、科技、文化等相关的事物(包括 水壶 等话题)来保持信息灵通并从你的知识中获利。

Polymarket 目前拥有 1319 个活跃的 水壶 市场,让你可以跟踪或交易如"Either Tate brother arrested by...?"等预测。无论你是在跟踪广泛讨论的事件还是小众结果,该平台基于超过 $58.0M 的交易量汇聚实时赔率,提供粉丝和投资者情绪的全面视图。

每个 Polymarket 市场都是一个是/否问题,例如"Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?"。你可以购买"是"或"否"结果的份额。价格反映了众包的赔率和概率。例如,如果"是"的价格为 30 美分,则表示有 30% 的概率。市场根据官方结果进行结算。对于多结果事件,例如"Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?",你只需交易你认为会获胜的特定结果即可。

截至今天,最活跃的市场是"Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?",市场目前认为 No 的概率为 91%。这些赔率会随着新信息的出现和用户的交易实时更新,与传统博彩公司的赔率相比,提供了市场认为会发生什么的动态快照。

它能穿透噪音。与民调或专家评论不同,Polymarket 向你展示由金融信念支撑的 水壶 预测实时赔率,这些赔率通常比专家或调查更快、更准确。你可以获得数千名交易者对实际会发生什么的无偏见看法,这通常比民调更准确。此外,你可以交易份额,如果你的预测准确,还可能从中获利。