Tom Kim leads the U.S. Open winner market at 41.5% implied probability following his strong showing in final qualifying at Dallas Athletic Club, where he secured his fifth career appearance at the event just days before the June 18–21 start at Shinnecock Hills. Traders appear to be weighting his recent form surge, including a T-6 at the Myrtle Beach Classic and consistent ball-striking suited to the demanding, windswept links-style layout. Scottie Scheffler sits second at 11.5% on the strength of his world ranking and major pedigree, while Rory McIlroy, Jon Rahm, and Cameron Young trail further back amid the deep, 156-player field. The closely bunched probabilities behind the top names reflect the U.S. Open’s inherent volatility, where course setup, weather, and putting on firm greens can elevate underdogs or derail favorites regardless of recent rankings or head-to-head history.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Scottie Scheffler 9%
Rory McIlroy 5%
Jon Rahm 5%
Cameron Young 3.8%
Scottie Scheffler
9%
Rory McIlroy
5%
Jon Rahm
5%
Cameron Young
4%
Tommy Fleetwood
3%
Xander Schauffele
3%
Tom Kim
3%
Matt Fitzpatrick
3%
Collin Morikawa
2%
Si Woo Kim
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Bryson DeChambeau
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Viktor Hovland
1%
Justin Thomas
1%
Patrick Reed
1%
Chris Gotterup
1%
J.J. Spaun
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Brooks Koepka
1%
Kurt Kitayama
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Justin Rose
1%
Robert MacIntyre
1%
Jordan Spieth
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Ben Griffin
1%
Bud Cauley
1%
Kristoffer Reitan
1%
Harris English
1%
Aaron Rai
1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
1%
Hideki Matsuyama
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
David Puig
1%
Jake Knapp
1%
Ryan Gerard
1%
John Parry
1%
Alexander Noren
1%
Sepp Straka
1%
Jacob Bridgeman
1%
Gary Woodland
1%
Keith Mitchell
1%
Keegan Bradley
1%
Alex Smalley
1%
Jackson Koivun
1%
Ryan Fox
1%
Rickie Fowler
1%
Dustin Johnson
1%
JT Poston
1%
Andrew Novak
<1%
Harry Hall
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Max Greyserman
<1%
Akshay Bhatia
<1%
Jason Day
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Nick Taylor
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Lucas Herbert
<1%
Michael Kim
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Jayden Schaper
<1%
Sam Stevens
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
Cameron Smith
<1%
Sung-Jae Im
<1%
Sudarshan Yellamaraju
<1%
Pierceson Coody
<1%
Matt McCarty
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Max McGreevy
<1%
William Mouw
<1%
Jackson Suber
<1%
Johnny Keefer
<1%
Emiliano Grillo
<1%
Benjamin James
<1%
Ben Kohles
<1%
Carlos Ortiz
<1%
Chris Kirk
<1%
Nathan Kimsey
<1%
Nicolas Echavarria
<1%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
<1%
Patrick Rodgers
<1%
Jimmy Stanger
<1%
Kevin Roy
<1%
Zac Blair
<1%
Cole Hammer
<1%
Nick Hardy
<1%
Graeme McDowell
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Caleb Surratt
<1%
Matthew Jordan
<1%
Laurie Canter
<1%
Scottie Scheffler 9%
Rory McIlroy 5%
Jon Rahm 5%
Cameron Young 3.8%
Scottie Scheffler
9%
Rory McIlroy
5%
Jon Rahm
5%
Cameron Young
4%
Tommy Fleetwood
3%
Xander Schauffele
3%
Tom Kim
3%
Matt Fitzpatrick
3%
Collin Morikawa
2%
Si Woo Kim
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Bryson DeChambeau
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Viktor Hovland
1%
Justin Thomas
1%
Patrick Reed
1%
Chris Gotterup
1%
J.J. Spaun
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Brooks Koepka
1%
Kurt Kitayama
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Justin Rose
1%
Robert MacIntyre
1%
Jordan Spieth
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Ben Griffin
1%
Bud Cauley
1%
Kristoffer Reitan
1%
Harris English
1%
Aaron Rai
1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
1%
Hideki Matsuyama
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
David Puig
1%
Jake Knapp
1%
Ryan Gerard
1%
John Parry
1%
Alexander Noren
1%
Sepp Straka
1%
Jacob Bridgeman
1%
Gary Woodland
1%
Keith Mitchell
1%
Keegan Bradley
1%
Alex Smalley
1%
Jackson Koivun
1%
Ryan Fox
1%
Rickie Fowler
1%
Dustin Johnson
1%
JT Poston
1%
Andrew Novak
<1%
Harry Hall
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Max Greyserman
<1%
Akshay Bhatia
<1%
Jason Day
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Nick Taylor
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Lucas Herbert
<1%
Michael Kim
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Jayden Schaper
<1%
Sam Stevens
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
Cameron Smith
<1%
Sung-Jae Im
<1%
Sudarshan Yellamaraju
<1%
Pierceson Coody
<1%
Matt McCarty
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Max McGreevy
<1%
William Mouw
<1%
Jackson Suber
<1%
Johnny Keefer
<1%
Emiliano Grillo
<1%
Benjamin James
<1%
Ben Kohles
<1%
Carlos Ortiz
<1%
Chris Kirk
<1%
Nathan Kimsey
<1%
Nicolas Echavarria
<1%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
<1%
Patrick Rodgers
<1%
Jimmy Stanger
<1%
Kevin Roy
<1%
Zac Blair
<1%
Cole Hammer
<1%
Nick Hardy
<1%
Graeme McDowell
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Caleb Surratt
<1%
Matthew Jordan
<1%
Laurie Canter
<1%
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the U.S. Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the U.S. Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by June 27, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
市场开放时间： Jun 15, 2026, 12:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the U.S. Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the U.S. Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by June 27, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Tom Kim leads the U.S. Open winner market at 41.5% implied probability following his strong showing in final qualifying at Dallas Athletic Club, where he secured his fifth career appearance at the event just days before the June 18–21 start at Shinnecock Hills. Traders appear to be weighting his recent form surge, including a T-6 at the Myrtle Beach Classic and consistent ball-striking suited to the demanding, windswept links-style layout. Scottie Scheffler sits second at 11.5% on the strength of his world ranking and major pedigree, while Rory McIlroy, Jon Rahm, and Cameron Young trail further back amid the deep, 156-player field. The closely bunched probabilities behind the top names reflect the U.S. Open’s inherent volatility, where course setup, weather, and putting on firm greens can elevate underdogs or derail favorites regardless of recent rankings or head-to-head history.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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