Trader consensus for the 2026 Ballon d'Or winner clusters tightly with Kylian Mbappé leading at 26%, Lamine Yamal close behind at 23.5%, and Harry Kane at 22.2%, underscoring the uncertainty in a long-term award hinging on club dominance and 2026 World Cup heroics. Mbappé's seamless integration at Real Madrid, marked by recent La Liga goals and Champions League contributions alongside Vinícius Júnior, has fueled his edge, while Yamal's explosive creativity and key assists propel Barcelona's attack post-Euros breakout. Kane's prolific Bundesliga scoring keeps Bayern's title bid alive. No standout narrative has emerged amid balanced early 2024-25 form across La Liga, Bundesliga, and Premier League equivalents, with international qualifiers and UCL progression poised to sharpen the race.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于2026年金球奖得主
2026年金球奖得主
基利安·姆巴佩 26%
哈里·凯恩 24.3%
拉明·亚马尔 24%
维尼修斯·儒尼奥尔 8.3%
$1,450,628 交易量
$1,450,628 交易量
Oct 31, 2026
基利安·姆巴佩
26%
哈里·凯恩
24%
拉明·亚马尔
24%
维尼修斯·儒尼奥尔
8%
佩德里
4%
裘德·贝林厄姆
4%
科尔·帕尔默
3%
奥斯曼·登贝莱
2%
埃尔林·哈兰德
2%
穆罕默德·萨拉赫
1%
基利安·姆巴佩 26%
哈里·凯恩 24.3%
拉明·亚马尔 24%
维尼修斯·儒尼奥尔 8.3%
$1,450,628 交易量
$1,450,628 交易量
Oct 31, 2026
基利安·姆巴佩
$60,846 交易量
26%
哈里·凯恩
$335,552 交易量
24%
拉明·亚马尔
$34,065 交易量
24%
维尼修斯·儒尼奥尔
$283,533 交易量
8%
佩德里
$177,177 交易量
4%
裘德·贝林厄姆
$174,129 交易量
4%
科尔·帕尔默
$0 交易量
3%
奥斯曼·登贝莱
$178,235 交易量
2%
埃尔林·哈兰德
$207,091 交易量
2%
穆罕默德·萨拉赫
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
市场开放时间： Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
交易量
$1,450,628结束日期
Oct 31, 2026市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
交易量
$1,450,628结束日期
Oct 31, 2026市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus for the 2026 Ballon d'Or winner clusters tightly with Kylian Mbappé leading at 26%, Lamine Yamal close behind at 23.5%, and Harry Kane at 22.2%, underscoring the uncertainty in a long-term award hinging on club dominance and 2026 World Cup heroics. Mbappé's seamless integration at Real Madrid, marked by recent La Liga goals and Champions League contributions alongside Vinícius Júnior, has fueled his edge, while Yamal's explosive creativity and key assists propel Barcelona's attack post-Euros breakout. Kane's prolific Bundesliga scoring keeps Bayern's title bid alive. No standout narrative has emerged amid balanced early 2024-25 form across La Liga, Bundesliga, and Premier League equivalents, with international qualifiers and UCL progression poised to sharpen the race.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题