Market icon

2026年金球奖得主

Market icon

2026年金球奖得主

拉明·亚马尔 24%

哈里·凯恩 23.1%

基利安·姆巴佩 23%

维尼修斯·儒尼奥尔 6.3%

Polymarket

$1,420,928 交易量

拉明·亚马尔 24%

哈里·凯恩 23.1%

基利安·姆巴佩 23%

维尼修斯·儒尼奥尔 6.3%

Polymarket

$1,420,928 交易量

拉明·亚马尔

$34,325 交易量

24%

哈里·凯恩

$467,229 交易量

23%

基利安·姆巴佩

$62,826 交易量

23%

维尼修斯·儒尼奥尔

$283,920 交易量

6%

佩德里

$0 交易量

4%

科尔·帕尔默

$0 交易量

3%

裘德·贝林厄姆

$175,015 交易量

2%

奥斯曼·登贝莱

$178,447 交易量

2%

埃尔林·哈兰德

$219,167 交易量

2%

穆罕默德·萨拉赫

$0 交易量

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Trader consensus on the Ballon d'Or 2026 reflects a razor-thin contest among Lamine Yamal (24%), Harry Kane (23.1%), and Kylian Mbappé (22.5%), driven by their explosive early 2024-25 club form amid a long runway to the 2026 World Cup. Yamal's flair for Barcelona—highlighted by his goal and assist in the 4-0 Clásico rout of Real Madrid on October 26—has propelled his slight edge, showcasing Euro 2024 momentum with La Liga-leading assists. Kane's clinical finishing, including multiple Bundesliga braces for Bayern Munich, underscores his consistency as top scorer. Mbappé's speed and goal threat at Real Madrid persist despite adaptation hiccups like penalty misses, keeping the race tight as international tournaments and season-long stats loom large in crowning the world's best footballer.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.

If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
交易量
$1,420,928
结束日期
Oct 31, 2026
市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Trader consensus on the Ballon d'Or 2026 reflects a razor-thin contest among Lamine Yamal (24%), Harry Kane (23.1%), and Kylian Mbappé (22.5%), driven by their explosive early 2024-25 club form amid a long runway to the 2026 World Cup. Yamal's flair for Barcelona—highlighted by his goal and assist in the 4-0 Clásico rout of Real Madrid on October 26—has propelled his slight edge, showcasing Euro 2024 momentum with La Liga-leading assists. Kane's clinical finishing, including multiple Bundesliga braces for Bayern Munich, underscores his consistency as top scorer. Mbappé's speed and goal threat at Real Madrid persist despite adaptation hiccups like penalty misses, keeping the race tight as international tournaments and season-long stats loom large in crowning the world's best footballer.

Trader consensus on the Ballon d'Or 2026 reflects a razor-thin contest among Lamine Yamal (24%), Harry Kane (23.1%), and Kylian Mbappé (22.5%), driven by their explosive early 2024-25 club form amid a long runway to the 2026 World Cup. Yamal's flair for Barcelona—highlighted by his goal and assist in the 4-0 Clásico rout of Real Madrid on October 26—has propelled his slight edge, showcasing Euro 2024 momentum with La Liga-leading assists. Kane's clinical finishing, including multiple Bundesliga braces for Bayern Munich, underscores his consistency as top scorer. Mbappé's speed and goal threat at Real Madrid persist despite adaptation hiccups like penalty misses, keeping the race tight as international tournaments and season-long stats loom large in crowning the world's best footballer.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"2026年金球奖得主"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 10 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"拉明·亚马尔"，概率为 24%，其次是"哈里·凯恩"，概率为 23%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 24¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 24%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"2026年金球奖得主"已产生 $1.4 million 的总交易量（自Sep 22, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"2026年金球奖得主"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 10 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"2026年金球奖得主"的当前领先者是"拉明·亚马尔"，概率为 24%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 24%。紧随其后的结果是"哈里·凯恩"，概率为 23%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"2026年金球奖得主"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。