Several pitchers sit near the top of MLB ERA leaderboards with sub-2.00 marks heading into the final week, yet none commands a clear edge in a market reflecting broad uncertainty. Jacob Misiorowski and Cam Schlittler stand out for combining elite ERAs near 1.90-1.95 with substantial innings (over 160-180), high strikeout rates, and strong peripherals, while Shohei Ohtani leads at 1.79 but trails significantly in workload after an IL stint. Contenders like Dylan Cease, Tarik Skubal, and Logan Webb post competitive figures but face larger gaps in innings or recent form, with late-September starts and potential roster decisions adding volatility. This dispersion leaves implied probabilities fragmented across the field.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Max Fried 3.4%
Logan Webb 3.3%
Tarik Skubal 2.9%
Dylan Cease 2.6%
$1,769,349 交易量
$1,769,349 交易量
2026-09-27
Max Fried
3%
Logan Webb
3%
Tarik Skubal
3%
Dylan Cease
3%
Nick Pivetta
2%
Paul Skenes
2%
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
1%
Garrett Crochet
1%
Hunter Brown
1%
Matthew Boyd
1%
Taj Bradley
1%
Bryce Elder
1%
Brayan Bello
1%
José Soriano
1%
Bryan Woo
1%
Eduardo Rodriguez
1%
Michael Wacha
1%
Carmen Mlodzinski
1%
Freddy Peralta
1%
Clay Holmes
1%
Chad Patrick
1%
Nolan McLean
1%
Seth Lugo
<1%
Connelly Early
<1%
Jeffrey Springs
<1%
Reynaldo López
<1%
Emerson Hancock
<1%
Joe Ryan
<1%
Andrew Abbott
<1%
Shohei Ohtani
<1%
Gavin Williams
<1%
Carlos Rodón
<1%
Cristopher Sánchez
<1%
Jacob deGrom
<1%
Merrill Kelly
<1%
Max Fried 3.4%
Logan Webb 3.3%
Tarik Skubal 2.9%
Dylan Cease 2.6%
$1,769,349 交易量
$1,769,349 交易量
2026-09-27
Max Fried
$143 交易量
3%
Logan Webb
$540 交易量
3%
Tarik Skubal
$622 交易量
3%
Dylan Cease
$8,550 交易量
3%
Nick Pivetta
$360 交易量
2%
Paul Skenes
$3,128 交易量
2%
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
$2,363 交易量
1%
Garrett Crochet
$380 交易量
1%
Hunter Brown
$788 交易量
1%
Matthew Boyd
$394 交易量
1%
Taj Bradley
$403 交易量
1%
Bryce Elder
$361 交易量
1%
Brayan Bello
$715 交易量
1%
José Soriano
$1,833 交易量
1%
Bryan Woo
$630,203 交易量
1%
Eduardo Rodriguez
$1,018 交易量
1%
Michael Wacha
$348 交易量
1%
Carmen Mlodzinski
$471 交易量
1%
Freddy Peralta
$307 交易量
1%
Clay Holmes
$329 交易量
1%
Chad Patrick
$291 交易量
1%
Nolan McLean
$341 交易量
1%
Seth Lugo
$468 交易量
<1%
Connelly Early
$308 交易量
<1%
Jeffrey Springs
$1,092,637 交易量
<1%
Reynaldo López
$317 交易量
<1%
Emerson Hancock
$427 交易量
<1%
Joe Ryan
$230 交易量
<1%
Andrew Abbott
$957 交易量
<1%
Shohei Ohtani
$9,735 交易量
<1%
Gavin Williams
$328 交易量
<1%
Carlos Rodón
$224 交易量
<1%
Cristopher Sánchez
$8,686 交易量
<1%
Jacob deGrom
$738 交易量
<1%
Merrill Kelly
$407 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the pitcher who records the lowest earned run average among qualified pitchers during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the pitcher that records more innings pitched during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that records more strikeouts during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that walked fewer batters during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the pitcher whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Several pitchers sit near the top of MLB ERA leaderboards with sub-2.00 marks heading into the final week, yet none commands a clear edge in a market reflecting broad uncertainty. Jacob Misiorowski and Cam Schlittler stand out for combining elite ERAs near 1.90-1.95 with substantial innings (over 160-180), high strikeout rates, and strong peripherals, while Shohei Ohtani leads at 1.79 but trails significantly in workload after an IL stint. Contenders like Dylan Cease, Tarik Skubal, and Logan Webb post competitive figures but face larger gaps in innings or recent form, with late-September starts and potential roster decisions adding volatility. This dispersion leaves implied probabilities fragmented across the field.
This market will resolve according to the pitcher who records the lowest earned run average among qualified pitchers during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the pitcher that records more innings pitched during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that records more strikeouts during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that walked fewer batters during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the pitcher whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the pitcher that records more innings pitched during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that records more strikeouts during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that walked fewer batters during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the pitcher whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Apr 22, 2026, 4:53 PM ET
交易量
$1,769,349结束日期
2026-09-28市场开放时间
Apr 22, 2026, 4:53 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the pitcher who records the lowest earned run average among qualified pitchers during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the pitcher that records more innings pitched during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that records more strikeouts during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that walked fewer batters during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the pitcher whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Several pitchers sit near the top of MLB ERA leaderboards with sub-2.00 marks heading into the final week, yet none commands a clear edge in a market reflecting broad uncertainty. Jacob Misiorowski and Cam Schlittler stand out for combining elite ERAs near 1.90-1.95 with substantial innings (over 160-180), high strikeout rates, and strong peripherals, while Shohei Ohtani leads at 1.79 but trails significantly in workload after an IL stint. Contenders like Dylan Cease, Tarik Skubal, and Logan Webb post competitive figures but face larger gaps in innings or recent form, with late-September starts and potential roster decisions adding volatility. This dispersion leaves implied probabilities fragmented across the field.
This market will resolve according to the pitcher who records the lowest earned run average among qualified pitchers during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the pitcher that records more innings pitched during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that records more strikeouts during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that walked fewer batters during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the pitcher whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the pitcher that records more innings pitched during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that records more strikeouts during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that walked fewer batters during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the pitcher whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,769,349结束日期
2026-09-28市场开放时间
Apr 22, 2026, 4:53 PM ETSeveral pitchers sit near the top of MLB ERA leaderboards with sub-2.00 marks heading into the final week, yet none commands a clear edge in a market reflecting broad uncertainty. Jacob Misiorowski and Cam Schlittler stand out for combining elite ERAs near 1.90-1.95 with substantial innings (over 160-180), high strikeout rates, and strong peripherals, while Shohei Ohtani leads at 1.79 but trails significantly in workload after an IL stint. Contenders like Dylan Cease, Tarik Skubal, and Logan Webb post competitive figures but face larger gaps in innings or recent form, with late-September starts and potential roster decisions adding volatility. This dispersion leaves implied probabilities fragmented across the field.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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