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特朗普是否会在2月28日之前就民意调查起诉纽约时报/锡耶纳?

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特朗普是否会在2月28日之前就民意调查起诉纽约时报/锡耶纳?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$5,898 交易量

<1% chance
Polymarket

$5,898 交易量

Donald Trump threatened to sue the New York Times over a Times/Siena poll it released which showed Trump’s favorability rating dropping (see: https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/115939791935000343)

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump files a new lawsuit against The New York Times Company, Siena University, or any of their subsidiaries, executives, employees, or pollsters or files a court document that adds a new legal claim to an existing lawsuit against any of these parties, in connection with New York Times/Siena opinion polling about Trump, by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The lawsuit or addition must be directly related to the New York Times’ polling about Trump to qualify.

An announcement of intent to sue or a legal threat will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution; a lawsuit must actually be filed in court.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant court. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$5,898
结束日期
Feb 28, 2026
市场开放时间
Jan 23, 2026, 10:39 AM ET
Donald Trump threatened to sue the New York Times over a Times/Siena poll it released which showed Trump’s favorability rating dropping (see: https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/115939791935000343) This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump files a new lawsuit against The New York Times Company, Siena University, or any of their subsidiaries, executives, employees, or pollsters or files a court document that adds a new legal claim to an existing lawsuit against any of these parties, in connection with New York Times/Siena opinion polling about Trump, by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The lawsuit or addition must be directly related to the New York Times’ polling about Trump to qualify. An announcement of intent to sue or a legal threat will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution; a lawsuit must actually be filed in court. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant court. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

已提议结果: 否

无争议

最终结果: 否

Donald Trump threatened to sue the New York Times over a Times/Siena poll it released which showed Trump’s favorability rating dropping (see: https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/115939791935000343)

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump files a new lawsuit against The New York Times Company, Siena University, or any of their subsidiaries, executives, employees, or pollsters or files a court document that adds a new legal claim to an existing lawsuit against any of these parties, in connection with New York Times/Siena opinion polling about Trump, by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The lawsuit or addition must be directly related to the New York Times’ polling about Trump to qualify.

An announcement of intent to sue or a legal threat will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution; a lawsuit must actually be filed in court.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant court. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$5,898
结束日期
Feb 28, 2026
市场开放时间
Jan 23, 2026, 10:39 AM ET
Donald Trump threatened to sue the New York Times over a Times/Siena poll it released which showed Trump’s favorability rating dropping (see: https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/115939791935000343) This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump files a new lawsuit against The New York Times Company, Siena University, or any of their subsidiaries, executives, employees, or pollsters or files a court document that adds a new legal claim to an existing lawsuit against any of these parties, in connection with New York Times/Siena opinion polling about Trump, by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The lawsuit or addition must be directly related to the New York Times’ polling about Trump to qualify. An announcement of intent to sue or a legal threat will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution; a lawsuit must actually be filed in court. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant court. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

已提议结果: 否

无争议

最终结果: 否

警惕外部链接哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"特朗普是否会在2月28日之前就民意调查起诉纽约时报/锡耶纳?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "特朗普会在2月28日之前因民调起诉《纽约时报》/锡耶纳吗?" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 0¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 0% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"特朗普是否会在2月28日之前就民意调查起诉纽约时报/锡耶纳?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jan 23, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "特朗普是否会在2月28日之前就民意调查起诉纽约时报/锡耶纳?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "特朗普是否会在2月28日之前就民意调查起诉纽约时报/锡耶纳?" is "特朗普会在2月28日之前因民调起诉《纽约时报》/锡耶纳吗?" at just 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "特朗普是否会在2月28日之前就民意调查起诉纽约时报/锡耶纳?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.