Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) maintain firm control of Khartoum since recapturing it from Rapid Support Forces (RSF) in March 2025, with the army-aligned government returning to the capital in January 2026 amid redeployments to counter RSF in Kordofan and Darfur. The most recent major development—RSF's capture of border town Kurmuk on March 27—secures supply lines from Ethiopian rear bases and a potential axis toward the Nile Valley, but remains distant from Khartoum with SAF airstrikes already targeting positions there. SAF leader Burhan's March 19 conditions for peace talks highlight stalled negotiations, reinforcing trader consensus at 93% "No" due to RSF's peripheral gains, SAF air superiority, and three-month timeline barriers absent major escalation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
NEW
NEW
Jun 30, 2026
是
NEW
NEW
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) maintain firm control of Khartoum since recapturing it from Rapid Support Forces (RSF) in March 2025, with the army-aligned government returning to the capital in January 2026 amid redeployments to counter RSF in Kordofan and Darfur. The most recent major development—RSF's capture of border town Kurmuk on March 27—secures supply lines from Ethiopian rear bases and a potential axis toward the Nile Valley, but remains distant from Khartoum with SAF airstrikes already targeting positions there. SAF leader Burhan's March 19 conditions for peace talks highlight stalled negotiations, reinforcing trader consensus at 93% "No" due to RSF's peripheral gains, SAF air superiority, and three-month timeline barriers absent major escalation.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
市场开放时间： Dec 23, 2025, 6:39 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
Jun 30, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 23, 2025, 6:39 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) maintain firm control of Khartoum since recapturing it from Rapid Support Forces (RSF) in March 2025, with the army-aligned government returning to the capital in January 2026 amid redeployments to counter RSF in Kordofan and Darfur. The most recent major development—RSF's capture of border town Kurmuk on March 27—secures supply lines from Ethiopian rear bases and a potential axis toward the Nile Valley, but remains distant from Khartoum with SAF airstrikes already targeting positions there. SAF leader Burhan's March 19 conditions for peace talks highlight stalled negotiations, reinforcing trader consensus at 93% "No" due to RSF's peripheral gains, SAF air superiority, and three-month timeline barriers absent major escalation.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
交易量
$0结束日期
Jun 30, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 23, 2025, 6:39 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) maintain firm control of Khartoum since recapturing it from Rapid Support Forces (RSF) in March 2025, with the army-aligned government returning to the capital in January 2026 amid redeployments to counter RSF in Kordofan and Darfur. The most recent major development—RSF's capture of border town Kurmuk on March 27—secures supply lines from Ethiopian rear bases and a potential axis toward the Nile Valley, but remains distant from Khartoum with SAF airstrikes already targeting positions there. SAF leader Burhan's March 19 conditions for peace talks highlight stalled negotiations, reinforcing trader consensus at 93% "No" due to RSF's peripheral gains, SAF air superiority, and three-month timeline barriers absent major escalation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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