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体育·Mma

谁将在2026年底成为UFC重量级冠军？

Market icon
体育·Mma

谁将在2026年底成为UFC重量级冠军？

汤姆·阿斯平诺 34%

西里尔·加恩 16%

Serghei Spivac 2.5%

亚历山大·沃尔科夫 1.1%

Polymarket
NEW

汤姆·阿斯平诺 34%

西里尔·加恩 16%

Serghei Spivac 2.5%

亚历山大·沃尔科夫 1.1%

Polymarket
NEW

汤姆·阿斯平诺

$778 交易量

47%

西里尔·加恩

$1,840 交易量

22%

Serghei Spivac

$0 交易量

15%

亚历山大·沃尔科夫

$0 交易量

10%

瓦尔多·科尔特斯·阿科斯塔

$0 交易量

1%

马尔钦·泰布拉

$0 交易量

10%

Jailton Almeida

$0 交易量

15%

科蒂斯·布雷兹

$0 交易量

13%

Ante Delija

$0 交易量

25%

谢尔盖·帕夫洛维奇

$0 交易量

28%

德里克·刘易斯

$3,063 交易量

28%

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Trader consensus favors Tom Aspinall at 46.5% implied probability as the reigning UFC Heavyweight champion, reflecting his explosive finishes against top contenders like Sergei Pavlovich and dominant interim title reign following Jon Jones' retirement, though a recent eye poke injury and recovery have delayed his return, prompting an interim title clash between Alex Pereira and Ciryl Gane at UFC's White House event on June 14. Pavlovich (27.9%) and Derrick Lewis (27.6%) trail closely on knockout power—Pavlovich's 2025 wins over Waldo Cortes-Acosta and Jairzinho Rozenstruik, and Lewis' quick 2025 finish of Tallison Teixeira—positioning them for contention shots amid Aspinall's absence. Rising grapplers like Jailton Almeida and Serghei Spivac, plus Ante Delija's momentum, highlight a competitive field per March rankings, with stylistic matchups and health dictating paths to year-end gold.

Trader consensus favors Tom Aspinall at 46.5% implied probability as the reigning UFC Heavyweight champion, reflecting his explosive finishes against top contenders like Sergei Pavlovich and dominant interim title reign following Jon Jones' retirement, though a recent eye poke injury and recovery have delayed his return, prompting an interim title clash between Alex Pereira and Ciryl Gane at UFC's White House event on June 14. Pavlovich (27.9%) and Derrick Lewis (27.6%) trail closely on knockout power—Pavlovich's 2025 wins over Waldo Cortes-Acosta and Jairzinho Rozenstruik, and Lewis' quick 2025 finish of Tallison Teixeira—positioning them for contention shots amid Aspinall's absence. Rising grapplers like Jailton Almeida and Serghei Spivac, plus Ante Delija's momentum, highlight a competitive field per March rankings, with stylistic matchups and health dictating paths to year-end gold.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Trader consensus favors Tom Aspinall at 46.5% implied probability as the reigning UFC Heavyweight champion, reflecting his explosive finishes against top contenders like Sergei Pavlovich and dominant interim title reign following Jon Jones' retirement, though a recent eye poke injury and recovery have delayed his return, prompting an interim title clash between Alex Pereira and Ciryl Gane at UFC's White House event on June 14. Pavlovich (27.9%) and Derrick Lewis (27.6%) trail closely on knockout power—Pavlovich's 2025 wins over Waldo Cortes-Acosta and Jairzinho Rozenstruik, and Lewis' quick 2025 finish of Tallison Teixeira—positioning them for contention shots amid Aspinall's absence. Rising grapplers like Jailton Almeida and Serghei Spivac, plus Ante Delija's momentum, highlight a competitive field per March rankings, with stylistic matchups and health dictating paths to year-end gold.

Trader consensus favors Tom Aspinall at 46.5% implied probability as the reigning UFC Heavyweight champion, reflecting his explosive finishes against top contenders like Sergei Pavlovich and dominant interim title reign following Jon Jones' retirement, though a recent eye poke injury and recovery have delayed his return, prompting an interim title clash between Alex Pereira and Ciryl Gane at UFC's White House event on June 14. Pavlovich (27.9%) and Derrick Lewis (27.6%) trail closely on knockout power—Pavlovich's 2025 wins over Waldo Cortes-Acosta and Jairzinho Rozenstruik, and Lewis' quick 2025 finish of Tallison Teixeira—positioning them for contention shots amid Aspinall's absence. Rising grapplers like Jailton Almeida and Serghei Spivac, plus Ante Delija's momentum, highlight a competitive field per March rankings, with stylistic matchups and health dictating paths to year-end gold.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"谁将在2026年底成为UFC重量级冠军？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 11 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"汤姆·阿斯平诺"，概率为 47%，其次是"谢尔盖·帕夫洛维奇"，概率为 28%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 47¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 47%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"谁将在2026年底成为UFC重量级冠军？"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场，于Jan 4, 2026上线。作为一个新市场，这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签，以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"谁将在2026年底成为UFC重量级冠军？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 11 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"谁将在2026年底成为UFC重量级冠军？"的当前领先者是"汤姆·阿斯平诺"，概率为 47%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 47%。紧随其后的结果是"谢尔盖·帕夫洛维奇"，概率为 28%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"谁将在2026年底成为UFC重量级冠军？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。