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体育·UFC

谁将在2026年底成为UFC轻量级冠军？

Market icon
体育·UFC

谁将在2026年底成为UFC轻量级冠军？

伊利亚·托普里亚 67%

阿尔曼·萨鲁基扬 18%

贾斯汀·盖奇 17.8%

查尔斯·奥利维拉 13.1%

Polymarket

$15,513 交易量

伊利亚·托普里亚 67%

阿尔曼·萨鲁基扬 18%

贾斯汀·盖奇 17.8%

查尔斯·奥利维拉 13.1%

Polymarket

$15,513 交易量

伊利亚·托普里亚

$5,486 交易量

67%

阿尔曼·萨鲁基扬

$1,048 交易量

18%

查尔斯·奥利维拉

$1,110 交易量

13%

马克斯·霍洛威

$771 交易量

4%

贾斯汀·盖奇

$1,607 交易量

13%

帕迪·皮姆布雷特

$2,248 交易量

<1%

丹·胡克

$626 交易量

1%

马特乌什·加姆罗特

$580 交易量

<1%

Benoît Saint Denis

$832 交易量

1%

Rafael Fiziev

$627 交易量

1%

雷纳托·莫伊卡诺

$579 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Ilia Topuria tops trader consensus at 41% implied probability for UFC lightweight champion by end of 2026, propelled by his devastating second-round knockout of Max Holloway at UFC 308 last October—avenging Holloway's recent lightweight win over Justin Gaethje—and his bold challenge to titleholder Islam Makhachev while signaling a permanent move to 155 pounds. Arman Tsarukyan trails at 27%, riding momentum from his gritty unanimous decision over Mateusz Gamrot at UFC 310 in December, cementing his top contender status with superior wrestling and cardio. Charles Oliveira (13%) and Gaethje (12%) persist as threats via veteran knockout power, despite Oliveira's no-contest with Tsarukyan and Gaethje's setback against Holloway, highlighting the division's volatility under Makhachev's reign.

Ilia Topuria tops trader consensus at 41% implied probability for UFC lightweight champion by end of 2026, propelled by his devastating second-round knockout of Max Holloway at UFC 308 last October—avenging Holloway's recent lightweight win over Justin Gaethje—and his bold challenge to titleholder Islam Makhachev while signaling a permanent move to 155 pounds. Arman Tsarukyan trails at 27%, riding momentum from his gritty unanimous decision over Mateusz Gamrot at UFC 310 in December, cementing his top contender status with superior wrestling and cardio. Charles Oliveira (13%) and Gaethje (12%) persist as threats via veteran knockout power, despite Oliveira's no-contest with Tsarukyan and Gaethje's setback against Holloway, highlighting the division's volatility under Makhachev's reign.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Ilia Topuria tops trader consensus at 41% implied probability for UFC lightweight champion by end of 2026, propelled by his devastating second-round knockout of Max Holloway at UFC 308 last October—avenging Holloway's recent lightweight win over Justin Gaethje—and his bold challenge to titleholder Islam Makhachev while signaling a permanent move to 155 pounds. Arman Tsarukyan trails at 27%, riding momentum from his gritty unanimous decision over Mateusz Gamrot at UFC 310 in December, cementing his top contender status with superior wrestling and cardio. Charles Oliveira (13%) and Gaethje (12%) persist as threats via veteran knockout power, despite Oliveira's no-contest with Tsarukyan and Gaethje's setback against Holloway, highlighting the division's volatility under Makhachev's reign.

Ilia Topuria tops trader consensus at 41% implied probability for UFC lightweight champion by end of 2026, propelled by his devastating second-round knockout of Max Holloway at UFC 308 last October—avenging Holloway's recent lightweight win over Justin Gaethje—and his bold challenge to titleholder Islam Makhachev while signaling a permanent move to 155 pounds. Arman Tsarukyan trails at 27%, riding momentum from his gritty unanimous decision over Mateusz Gamrot at UFC 310 in December, cementing his top contender status with superior wrestling and cardio. Charles Oliveira (13%) and Gaethje (12%) persist as threats via veteran knockout power, despite Oliveira's no-contest with Tsarukyan and Gaethje's setback against Holloway, highlighting the division's volatility under Makhachev's reign.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"谁将在2026年底成为UFC轻量级冠军？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 11 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"伊利亚·托普里亚"，概率为 67%，其次是"阿尔曼·萨鲁基扬"，概率为 18%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 67¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 67%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"谁将在2026年底成为UFC轻量级冠军？"已产生 $15.5K 的总交易量（自Jan 4, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"谁将在2026年底成为UFC轻量级冠军？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 11 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"谁将在2026年底成为UFC轻量级冠军？"的当前领先者是"伊利亚·托普里亚"，概率为 67%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 67%。紧随其后的结果是"阿尔曼·萨鲁基扬"，概率为 18%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"谁将在2026年底成为UFC轻量级冠军？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。