Trader consensus on Polymarket shows a razor-thin split with Michael Chandler at 49% implied probability edging Jorge Masvidal at 48% for Conor McGregor's next UFC bout, reflecting uncertainty since McGregor's toe injury scrapped their UFC 303 main event and Chandler's recent unanimous decision loss to Charles Oliveira at UFC 309. Masvidal's unretirement announcement and direct "sign the contract" challenge on social media has fueled comeback hype given their bad-blood history and PPV draw, keeping the race tight. Ian Garry's 34.5% trails closely after McGregor's praise for the unbeaten Irish prospect's welterweight rise, while Max Holloway's BMF title and Nate Diaz's rivalry linger as stylistic wildcards amid no firm return date from UFC CEO Dana White.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Michael Chandler 49%
Jorge Masvidal 48%
Ian Garry 35%
Max Holloway 25%
Max Holloway
25%
Jorge Masvidal
48%
Nate Diaz
18%
Michael Chandler
49%
Ian Garry
35%
Michael Chandler 49%
Jorge Masvidal 48%
Ian Garry 35%
Max Holloway 25%
Max Holloway
25%
Jorge Masvidal
48%
Nate Diaz
18%
Michael Chandler
49%
Ian Garry
35%
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Conor McGregor is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Conor McGregor is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by March 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
市场开放时间: Mar 27, 2026, 5:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Conor McGregor is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Conor McGregor is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by March 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket shows a razor-thin split with Michael Chandler at 49% implied probability edging Jorge Masvidal at 48% for Conor McGregor's next UFC bout, reflecting uncertainty since McGregor's toe injury scrapped their UFC 303 main event and Chandler's recent unanimous decision loss to Charles Oliveira at UFC 309. Masvidal's unretirement announcement and direct "sign the contract" challenge on social media has fueled comeback hype given their bad-blood history and PPV draw, keeping the race tight. Ian Garry's 34.5% trails closely after McGregor's praise for the unbeaten Irish prospect's welterweight rise, while Max Holloway's BMF title and Nate Diaz's rivalry linger as stylistic wildcards amid no firm return date from UFC CEO Dana White.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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